Smartsheet Stock Is Believed To Be Fairly Valued

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GF Value
Apr 23, 2021
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The stock of Smartsheet (NYSE:SMAR, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $59.8 per share and the market cap of $7.1 billion, Smartsheet stock shows every sign of being fairly valued. GF Value for Smartsheet is shown in the chart below.

Smartsheet GF Value Chart

Because Smartsheet is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which is estimated to grow 17.55% annually over the next three to five years.

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Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. Smartsheet has a cash-to-debt ratio of 4.97, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Smartsheet's financial strength as 6 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of Smartsheet over the past years:

debt and cash

Companies that have been consistently profitable over the long term offer less risk for investors who may want to purchase shares. Higher profit margins usually dictate a better investment compared to a company with lower profit margins. Smartsheet has been profitable 0 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $385.5 million and loss of $0.94 a share. Its operating margin is -31.25%, which ranks worse than 80% of the companies in Software industry. Overall, the profitability of Smartsheet is ranked 3 out of 10, which indicates poor profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Smartsheet over the past years:

Revnue and Net Income

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of Smartsheet is -19.3%, which ranks worse than 87% of the companies in Software industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 29.7%, which ranks better than 75% of the companies in Software industry.

Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Smartsheet's return on invested capital is -24.91, and its cost of capital is 10.22. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Smartsheet is shown below:

ROIC vs WACC

Overall, the stock of Smartsheet (NYSE:SMAR, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks better than 75% of the companies in Software industry. To learn more about Smartsheet stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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