The stock of NMI Holdings (NAS:NMIH, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be modestly undervalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $23.66 per share and the market cap of $2 billion, NMI Holdings stock shows every sign of being modestly undervalued. GF Value for NMI Holdings is shown in the chart below.
Because NMI Holdings is relatively undervalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be higher than its business growth, which averaged 24.2% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 14.57% annually over the next three to five years.
Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.
Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. NMI Holdings has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.28, which is worse than 88% of the companies in Insurance industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of NMI Holdings at 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of NMI Holdings is fair. This is the debt and cash of NMI Holdings over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. NMI Holdings has been profitable 5 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $437.6 million and earnings of $1.98 a share. Its operating margin of 0.00% in the bottom 10% of the companies in Insurance industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks NMI Holdings's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of NMI Holdings over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of NMI Holdings is 24.2%, which ranks better than 90% of the companies in Insurance industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 39.5%, which ranks better than 92% of the companies in Insurance industry.
One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, NMI Holdings's ROIC is 11.06 while its WACC came in at 11.20. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of NMI Holdings is shown below:
Overall, the stock of NMI Holdings (NAS:NMIH, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being modestly undervalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks better than 92% of the companies in Insurance industry. To learn more about NMI Holdings stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
To find out the high quality companies that may deliever above average returns, please check out GuruFocus High Quality Low Capex Screener.
