The stock of Mesabi Trust (NYSE:MSB, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $37.32 per share and the market cap of $489.6 million, Mesabi Trust stock is believed to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Mesabi Trust is shown in the chart below.
Because Mesabi Trust is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.
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It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. Mesabi Trust has a cash-to-debt ratio of 10000.00, which is better than 100% of the companies in Steel industry. The overall financial strength of Mesabi Trust is 9 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Mesabi Trust is strong. This is the debt and cash of Mesabi Trust over the past years:
It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. Mesabi Trust has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $25.9 million and earnings of $1.784 a share. Its operating margin is 91.78%, which ranks better than 100% of the companies in Steel industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of Mesabi Trust at 9 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Mesabi Trust over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Mesabi Trust is -9%, which ranks worse than 79% of the companies in Steel industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -10.7%, which ranks worse than 68% of the companies in Steel industry.
Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Mesabi Trust's return on invested capital is 1571.00, and its cost of capital is 8.40. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Mesabi Trust is shown below:
In short, the stock of Mesabi Trust (NYSE:MSB, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is strong and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks worse than 68% of the companies in Steel industry. To learn more about Mesabi Trust stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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