The stock of Cirrus Logic (NAS:CRUS, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being modestly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $84.8 per share and the market cap of $4.9 billion, Cirrus Logic stock shows every sign of being modestly overvalued. GF Value for Cirrus Logic is shown in the chart below.
Because Cirrus Logic is relatively overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be lower than its business growth, which is estimated to grow 3.77% annually over the next three to five years.
Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company’s financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Cirrus Logic has a cash-to-debt ratio of 3.50, which which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry. The overall financial strength of Cirrus Logic is 8 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Cirrus Logic is strong. This is the debt and cash of Cirrus Logic over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Cirrus Logic has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $1.4 billion and earnings of $3.62 a share. Its operating margin is 17.35%, which ranks better than 78% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. Overall, the profitability of Cirrus Logic is ranked 7 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Cirrus Logic over the past years:
Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus’ research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company’s stock. If a company’s business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. Cirrus Logic’s 3-year average revenue growth rate is in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry. Cirrus Logic’s 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -2.5%, which ranks worse than 70% of the companies in Semiconductors industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Cirrus Logic’s return on invested capital is 17.34, and its cost of capital is 6.66.
To conclude, Cirrus Logic (NAS:CRUS, 30-year Financials) stock is estimated to be modestly overvalued. The company's financial condition is strong and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks worse than 70% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. To learn more about Cirrus Logic stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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