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MercadoLibre Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued

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Jul 17, 2021
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The stock of MercadoLibre (NAS:MELI, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $1512.51 per share and the market cap of $75.4 billion, MercadoLibre stock gives every indication of being fairly valued. GF Value for MercadoLibre is shown in the chart below.


Because MercadoLibre is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 42.6% over the past five years.

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Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company’s financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company’s financial strength. MercadoLibre has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.75, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks MercadoLibre’s financial strength as 5 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of MercadoLibre over the past years:


It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. MercadoLibre has been profitable 7 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $4.7 billion and loss of $0.31 a share. Its operating margin is 5.28%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. Overall, the profitability of MercadoLibre is ranked 7 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of MercadoLibre over the past years:


One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of MercadoLibre is 42.6%, which ranks better than 96% of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 28.9%, which ranks better than 80% of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical.

Another way to evaluate a company’s profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, MercadoLibre’s ROIC was -1.95, while its WACC came in at 9.71. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of MercadoLibre is shown below:


Overall, the stock of MercadoLibre (NAS:MELI, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks better than 80% of the companies in the industry of Retail - Cyclical. To learn more about MercadoLibre stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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