Why DJT Stock is Dropping Today

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Oct 15, 2024

Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT, Financial) shares experienced a significant decline on Tuesday, falling by 9.65% to $27.06. This sharp drop comes amid reports of Donald Trump's waning voter support, contrasting with a smaller 0.8% decrease in the S&P 500 index.

The stock's performance continues to be deeply intertwined with Trump's political journey, especially as polls indicate a tight race ahead of the presidential election. According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, Vice President Kamala Harris is ahead of Trump by three percentage points, with 45% of the surveyed population showing support for Harris and 42% backing Trump. Moreover, an unusual incident in South Dakota, where Trump abruptly stopped answering questions at a town hall and danced to music for an hour, may have affected his public image and consequently, DJT's stock price.

From a valuation perspective, Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT, Financial) showcases a complex picture. The company displays strong financial strength, as highlighted by its Altman Z-score of 229.13. However, it faces profitability challenges, indicated by a Sloan Ratio problem pointing to poor quality of earnings, and extensive insider selling activity, with 128,138 shares sold over the past three months.

DJT is trading with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 15.2, which is significantly higher compared to the industry median. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) stands at a negative -3.9, reflecting its current challenges in profitability. Furthermore, the GF Value metrics are not available, indicating the difficulty in evaluating the stock's intrinsic value through standard methods.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group is approximately $5.42 billion, and its enterprise value is $5.65 billion. The stock's historical volatility is reflected in its price change patterns, with a 21.74% increase in the last week contrasted by a -34.6% decline over the past 12 weeks.

If Trump wins the presidency, Trump Media could potentially leverage significant influence within the social media sector, especially through its platform, Truth Social. However, should he lose, the company may remain a niche player in the rapidly evolving media landscape.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.