Insiders Are Buying Arsenal Energy

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Jul 10, 2014
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One energy stock has seen intensive insider buying during the last 30 days. Intensive insider buying can be defined by the following three criteria:

- The stock is purchased by three or more insiders within one month.

- The stock is sold by no insiders in the month of intensive purchasing.

- At least two purchasers increase their holdings by more than 10%.

Arsenal Energy (AEYIF, Financial) is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary basin in Canada and Williston basin in the United States.

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(Source: Investor presentation)

Insider Buying During the Last 30 Days

Here is a table of Arsenal’s insider activity during the last 30 days.

Name Title Trade Date Shares Purchased Prospectus Current Ownership Increase In Shares
Ron Forth VP June 30 2,139 Yes 170,450 shares +1.3%
Paul Lawrence CFO July 2 2,000 Yes 53,568 shares +3.9%
Bruce Mitchell 10% Owner June 11-July 9 226,500 Yes & No 2,272,809 shares +11.1%
Gjoa Taylor VP July 2 2,000 Yes 15,195 shares +15.2%

There have been 232,639 shares purchased by insiders during the last 30 days. Most of these shares were purchased pursuant to a bought deal financing.

Insider Buying by Calendar Month

Here is a table of Arsenal’s insider activity by calendar month.

Month Insider buying / shares Insider selling / shares
July 2014 107,800 0
June 2014 124,839 0
May 2014 172,700 12,100
April 2014 5,000 0
March 2014 8,200 5,000
February 2014 0 0
January 2014 25,600 0
December 2013 15,000 0
November 2013 0 5,000
October 2013 3,600 0
September 2013 0 0
August 2013 0 0
July 2013 20,150 0
June 2013 9,900 0
May 2013 59,800 0
April 2013 37,450 0
March 2013 9,150 0
February 2013 29,850 0
January 2013 45,962 0

(Note: The table doesn't include shares acquired or disposed pursuant to a purchase/ownership plan)

(Note: Arsenal had a 10 for one share consolidation on August 6, 2013. All the numbers are split adjusted)

There have been 675,001 shares purchased and there have been 22,100 shares sold by insiders since January 2013. The month of May 2014 has seen the most insider buying.

Financials

Arsenal reported the first-quarter financial results on May 6 with the following highlights:

Revenue C$19.2 million
Funds from operations C$11.1 million
Net income C$2.0 million
Cash C$3.2 million
Debt C$74.3 million
Production 4,108 boe/d

Arsenal closed a C$7.5 million private placement on July 3.

News

Arsenal’s production averaged approximately 4,700 boe/d in June.

Outlook

Arsenal’s 2014 guidance is as follows:

Production 4,400 boe/d
Funds from operations C$50.0 million
CapEx C$44.0 million

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(Source: Investor presentation)

Competition

Arsenal has a very low payout ratio compared to its peers.

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(Source: Investor presentation)

Conclusion

There have been four different insiders buying Arsenal and there have not been any insiders selling Arsenal during the last 30 days. Two of these four insiders increased their holdings by more than 10%. Arsenal has an insider ownership of 28%.

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(Source: Investor presentation)

The four insiders purchased their shares at prices ranging from $7.15 (C$7.62) to $8.78 (C$9.35). I believe Arsenal could be a good pick below $8.78 based on the intensive insider buying.

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(Source: Investor presentation)

Disclosure: The author has no positions in any stocks mentioned.