Taiwan Semiconductor Looks Like a Great Buy Now

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Jul 24, 2014

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM, Financial) is one of the world's heading foundries, and its strength reflects in its stock value execution. Taiwan Semiconductor shares have picked up 30% so far this year, and in the wake of investigating its late first quarter results, there is most likely its outstanding execution will proceed.

Development drivers

Taiwan Semiconductor's development is determined by strong seasonality, interest for low-end smartphones, China's push into 4g, and orders from Apple (AAPL, Financial). The fast development in versatile processing and system/cloud infrastructure is driving interest for complex semiconductor devices, enhancing Taiwan's prospects. It holds a solid position in the industry, while giving extreme rivalry to companies like Samsung and Intel (INTC). Taiwan Semiconductor's 20-nanometer engineering is anticipated to create 20% of its aggregate income this year, with Apple helping almost 50% of that.

Last week, The Wall Street Journal reported that trying to diversify its income stream, Taiwan Semiconductor has started shipping microprocessors to Apple. For a considerable length of time, Samsung was the sole supplier of microprocessors; notwithstanding, it seems that Taiwan Semiconductor has picked up the upper hand as it will also supply the up and coming era of A-series processors to Apple. Analysts estimate that Apple's microprocessor business will help something like 10% to Taiwan Semiconductor's income.

Not just is Taiwan Semiconductor's 20-nm process smaller in size, it is also 30% faster, and consumes 25% less vitality than Samsung's microprocessors. Notwithstanding, specialized focal point isn't the main reason why Apple is wanting to use Taiwan Semiconductor's microprocessors. Given the progressing lawsuits and intense rivalry from Samsung, Apple wants to lessen its reliance on Samsung as its essential part supplier.

The Wall Street Journal also noted that "Apple will probably increase its orders from TSMC as the agreement chip maker doesn't contend straightforwardly with Apple in the consumer-electronics showcase as Samsung does." Thus, analysts anticipate that Apple's commitment will Taiwan Semiconductor's income to rise to 15% in 2015.

Taiwan administration expects the company to outpace the semiconductor industry, and this is a step in the right course. Most of the Apple products which are to be dispatched this year are required to use 20nm A8 versatile application processors delivered by Taiwan Semiconductor.

Focused atmosphere

Taiwan Semicondunctor needs to stay ahead in process nodes, while still keeping pace with the volume needs and demands of its customer base. The company's next hub is the 16-nm hub, which is required to be taped out later this year or right on time one year from now, while its opponent Intel taped out the 14 nm hub last year. Reports suggest that Apple and Taiwan Semiconductor are as of now chipping away at the advancement of 16nm chips.

Intel plans to tape out 10-nm chips one year from now, while Samsung will tape out its 20-nm hub this year. This indicates that Taiwan is in front of Samsung, yet behind Intel. While Intel claims its scaling advantages over Taiwan's methodology, asserting a 35% focal point at 14nm/16nm and a 45% preference at 10nm, Taiwan calls this misleading and claims that Intel's preference at 14nm/16nm is less than 50% of what Intel claims, and that they are equivalent at 10nm. Thus, its a bit confusing for analysts and investors to choose whether Intel or Taiwan has the better engineering at 14nm/16nm, where it seems that both are prone to be reasonable and focused processes.

Conclusion

Considerably in the wake of putting in a strong execution in 2014, Taiwan Semiconductor shares exchange at reasonable valuations. The company has a trailing P/E proportion of just 18, while its advance P/E sits at under 15. This seems impressive for a company whose earnings are required to develop at a CAGR of 15% throughout the following five years. So, investors should painstakingly consider Taiwan shares for their portfolio as it can convey more upside going ahead.