Vertiv (VRT) Stock Moves Due to Tariff Actions and Analyst Downgrades

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Apr 03, 2025
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Vertiv Holdings (VRT, Financial) experienced a notable movement today, with its stock price increasing by 1.84% to $77.11. This change reflects a 2.44% rise in percentage terms.

Recent discussions around tariff actions and restrictions on foreign entities purchasing U.S. technology have undoubtedly cast a shadow over Vertiv Holdings (VRT, Financial). With its affiliation to Nvidia, a key player often sought after by restricted entities, Vertiv faces potential impacts on the demand for its data center equipment. The new regulatory landscape could slow down orders, particularly from those tied to the Chinese Communist Party.

In addition to geopolitical factors, Vertiv suffered from the downgrades by analysts at Barclays and TD Cowen. The growing pressures in the AI and data center sectors have led these analysts to revise their outlook on the company. One significant concern is the potential redesign of data centers by hyperscalers, prompted by increasing AI application demands, which could delay orders for Vertiv’s power and cooling solutions.

Despite these challenges, Vertiv's backlog saw a 30% increase in 2024, although the orders remained flat in the fourth quarter compared to the previous year. This static growth at the end of the year raises questions about the potential for declining orders from hyperscalers in the near term, despite an overall annual organic order growth of 30%.

Turning to stock analysis and valuation, Vertiv Holdings (VRT, Financial) is currently considered "Significantly Overvalued" according to its GF Value of $46.8. This valuation suggests that the stock is trading well above what could be considered its intrinsic value. With a price-to-earnings ratio of 60.24, close to a 1-year low, potential investors might find the stock's valuation metrics intriguing but should weigh these against the associated risks and market conditions.

The company's financial strengths are highlighted by its strong Altman Z-Score of 4.07 and a robust Piotroski F-Score of 7, indicating a healthy financial status. Additionally, the Beneish M-Score of -2.61 suggests that it's unlikely that Vertiv is a financial manipulator.

Despite these solid financial indicators, the GF Value assessment and current market volatility suggest that potential investors should exercise caution. As geopolitical and sector-specific challenges continue to unfold, Vertiv's ability to navigate these issues will be crucial in determining its future market performance.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.