Why Walmart (WMT) Shares Are Declining Today

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May 15, 2025
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Walmart Inc (WMT, Financial) stock experienced a decline of 1.26% today, reflecting investor concerns despite strong quarterly earnings. This decline is primarily attributed to the company's announcement of potential price hikes due to ongoing tariff impacts, a concern that has been weighing on investor sentiment.

Walmart (WMT, Financial) reported impressive quarterly earnings, exceeding market expectations with earnings per share of $0.61 and revenue of $165.6 billion, surpassing analyst predictions of $0.58 per share on $164 billion in revenue. This marks a revenue increase of 2.5% year-over-year, showcasing Walmart's resilience in maintaining its growth trajectory.

Global e-commerce sales for Walmart rose by 22%, which contributed significantly to its revenue growth. Additionally, membership income saw an increase of 15%, demonstrating the company's ability to leverage its omni-channel presence effectively. However, CEO Doug McMillon's warning about the inability to absorb all tariff-related costs has raised concerns about future consumer pricing and potential impacts on sales.

Despite maintaining its full-year guidance, the ongoing tariff situation casts uncertainty over Walmart's future pricing strategy. The company faces the challenge of navigating significantly higher tariff rates compared to historical levels, a factor that may influence consumer behavior and economic conditions.

From a valuation perspective, Walmart's current stock price of $95.61 positions it as significantly overvalued based on its GF Value of $59.3. With a P/E ratio of 39.67, which is close to its 2-year high, and a P/B ratio of 8.43, nearing a 10-year high, the stock reflects rich valuations. Additionally, the stock's PB Ratio of 1.15 is proximate to a 10-year peak of 1.23, indicating limited upside potential given current market conditions.

Analyzing financial strength, Walmart's Altman Z-Score of 6.28 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 highlight strong financial health. However, a recent issuance of new debt amounting to $2.3 billion over the past three years, combined with insider selling activities, suggests a cautious approach to its balance sheet.

Overall, Walmart (WMT, Financial) remains a formidable player in the retail sector, underpinning consistent revenue growth and operational efficiency. Nevertheless, investors should weigh the implications of tariff-induced price adjustments alongside current high valuations in their investment considerations.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.