Bill Ackman Comments on Mondelez

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Sep 11, 2015

Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

On August 6, 2015, Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. announced a 7.5% stake in Mondelez, which we acquired at approximately $40 per share. The investment is comprised of common shares, forward purchase contracts, and long-term, in-the-money call options.

Mondelez is one of the world’s largest snack companies with over $30 billion in revenues and a market capitalization of approximately $70 billion. The company, which owns an extremely high quality stable of brands including Cadbury, Oreo, Nabisco and Trident, was created out of the break-up of Kraft Foods in 2012.

Mondelez is a classic Pershing Square investment— a high quality, simple, predictable, free-cash-flow-generative business with attractive growth prospects and an enormous opportunity for margin enhancement. We like the snacks business because of the high profit margins the category enjoys, the economic “moats” surrounding the established brands, and the opportunity to grow these brands over the long term in the emerging markets, which represent approximately 40% of Mondelez’s sales. As a relatively low-priced luxury, emerging market sales for Mondelez continue to show high rates of growth despite recent economic deterioration in a number of these markets. Despite owning some of the best brands in the industry and participating in highly profitable categories, Mondelez has the lowest profit margins in its peer group, presenting a large opportunity to increase operational efficiency. We believe that the opportunity for substantially greater operating efficiency exists at Mondelez because it is effectively a new company created through the combination of Nabisco, LU Biscuit, and Cadbury – three acquisitions made by legacy Kraft that have never been fully integrated or optimized.

Pershing Square has a long history with the company and its predecessors. We first invested in Cadbury in 2007. We were a shareholder of Kraft when it acquired Cadbury in 2010, and publicly supported the acquisition. We were also a shareholder of Mondelez after the break-up of Kraft in 2012, and exited in 2013 when we needed capital for other opportunities. We know the company well and have developed a good, constructive relationship with CEO Irene Rosenfeld over the years.

We believe that now is an attractive time to invest in Mondelez because its profit margins are just beginning to expand after several years of limited improvement. In addition, we believe that 3G Capital, through its ownership of Heinz, and now Kraft, has established new benchmarks for operational efficiency, organizational design and management alignment which have allowed 3G companies to be more profitable, nimbler, and better positioned to grow over the long-term. We believe that 3G’s higher standards for operating performance will catalyze a competitive response in the packaged food industry, leading to greater operating margins and profitability for Mondelez and other companies in the industry.

From Pershing Square's semi-annual 2015 report.