New Guru Added: John Hussman of Hussman Funds

Author's Avatar
Nov 24, 2008
GuruFocus is pleased to announce that Dr. John Hussman of Hussman Funds has been added into our List of Gurus.


Dr. Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds. He is also the President of the Hussman Investment Trust. Dr. Hussman manages Hussman Strategic Growth Fund (HSGFX ), which invests primarily in U.S. stocks, and Hussman Strategic Total Return Fund – HSTRX, which invests primarily in U.S. Treasury and government agency securities.


From the fund’s inception in July 2000 to Oct. 31, 2008 , his Hussman Strategic Growth Fund averaged 9.9% a year, and has a cumulative gain of 118%, while the S&P500 lost more than 23%. For the 12 months ended Oct. 31, 2008 , his fund lost 0.3%, while the S&P500 lost more than 40%.


Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan . His academic research centers on market efficiency and information economics. Dr. Hussman holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University (1992), and two degrees from Northwestern University : a Masters degree in education and social policy (1985) and a bachelors degree in economics (1983, Phi Beta Kappa).


Dr. Hussman looks at two dimensions of information to adjust his willingness to take risk. The first is valuation. F avorable valuation means that stock prices appear reasonable in view of the stream of earnings, dividends, revenues and cash flows expected in the future. The second dimension is the quality of market action . Market action considers the behavior of a wide range of securities and industry groups, in an attempt to assess the economic outlook of investors and their willingness to accept market risk.


marketClimateValuation.gif These two dimensions of information make up four basic “Market Climates” associated with various combinations of valuation and market action. For stocks, in order of most favorable to least favorable, these Climates are: favorable valuation / favorable market action, unfavorable valuation / favorable market action, favorable valuation / unfavorable market action, and unfavorable valuation / unfavorable market action.


In the most favorable Climates, Dr. Hussman will typically hold an aggressive allocation to market risk, while in the least favorable Climates, he will typically attempt to remove the impact of market fluctuations from the portfolio through hedging (Strategic Growth Fund) or reduction in the average maturity of bond holdings (Strategic Total Return Fund). The most defensive position is a fully hedged position in which the entire value of long positions is hedged.


Dr. Hussman writes a weekly commentary which provides deep insight about current stock market valuations and actions. We strongly encourage our users to read them. As of Nov. 23, he thinks that the market is at favorable valuation level but unfavorable market actions. He is 65% hedged with his equity portfolio.