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Matthew T. Schroeder
Ockham Research Staff
Articles (5983) 

Earnings Success Does Still Exist

Ockham expects that the stock market’s short-term ride will continue to be a rocky one. Corporate profits are plunging for many solid companies, but this is not the case for all. There are still certain companies that are profiting in these difficult times. For investors, there is a real danger in becoming too pessimistic right now. Markets will inevitably revert to their norms and equity valuations have become undeniably appealing, especially for companies that are thriving despite the “Great Recession”. We ended this week’s Enterprising Investor’s Guide newsletter with: “We will continue to recommend companies that are growing sales and earnings (there are still some out there) and companies whose balance sheets have gobs of cash and little debt.” In this post, we review some of the companies that fit the criteria of being managed effectively through the downturn.

To start, IBM (NYSE:IBM) announced excellent earnings today. IBM has been quietly and diligently plugging away in the shadows of other Tech giants such as Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). The company managed to boost quarterly profits 17% year-over-year and recorded $8.93 per share in earnings for the full year. What’s more, instead of cautiously guiding for the year ahead in light of what is widely expected to be a trying year, IBM raised its guidance. Analysts expected to see IBM earn approximately $8.75 for fiscal 2009, but the company expects to earn a minimum of $9.20. Whether this confidence is well-founded or foolish remains to be seen but we would like to see more companies be so bullish regarding the year ahead. IBM also has nearly $13 billion in cash on hand should a compelling strategic acquisition materialize in 2009. IBM’s top competitor HP (NYSE:HPQ)–another company showing strong performance of late–is starting to reap the benefits of its merger with EDS.

Healthcare companies are often seen as recession-resistant because, for most consumers, it is not a discretionary expenditure but one of necessity. Abbott Labs (NYSE:ABT) just finished a very successful fiscal 2008. In the last quarter, earnings and revenue results were in-line at $1.06 per share on $8 billion in sales. These results are both double-digit percentage gains from the previous year and were boosted by strong sales in the Humira, Niaspan, and the TriCor/TRILIPIX franchises. The company just completed its acquisition of Advanced Medical Optics, strengthening its medical device unit. Furthermore, the company issued upbeat guidance that foresees another year of double-digit gains in earnings and sales for fiscal 2009.

United Technologies (NYSE:UTX) recently reported growth in the last quarter. UTX grew earnings at an eight percent clip during this time (slightly above consensus estimates) and issued guidance for the coming year that was in-line with analyst estimates. When taking away the effect of a strengthening dollar, sales would have risen three percent as well. The company managed to squeeze profits from its aerospace division offsetting results from Otis Elevator which fell 14% and Carrier Heating and Cooling which dropped by seven percent.

Finally, could there possibly be any good news from the financial sector these days? You have to look for it but Hudson City Bancorp (NASDAQ:HCBK) reported record earnings of $124.3 million for its most recent quarter. HCBK lived up to the title of “Best-Managed Bank of 2008″ which was recently awarded it by Forbes. The bank is managed the old-school way, offering competitive yields on deposits and maintaining closing costs and mortgage rates that among the best in the industry. It is a top 25 bank by asset size and its base of operations is in the New York metropolitan area. The company also increased its dividend by a penny to 14 cents per share. In these days of relentless bad news out of the financial sector, this company is a breath of fresh air.

Obviously, this is not an exhaustive look at any one of these companies, but it is a reminder that if you keep your eyes open there are companies doing the right things and strengthening even in a nasty economy. These are just some of the companies that have reported so far this week. We will be very interested in the results later today of EBAY (NASDAQ:EBAY) (who had a great holiday season) and Apple (APPL) (who always offers conservative earnings guidance only to beat it later).

Earnings Success Does Still Exist.

Ockham Research Staff


About the author:

Ockham Research Staff
Matthew T. Schroeder is the President of Anomalous Investments, an independent, value-added advisory service focused on finding small, undiscovered Special Situations in the natural resources industry. Particular focus is on gold, silver, oil & gas and agriculture. He can be reached at [email protected]

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