5 Undervalued Small-Cap Stocks for Value Investors

The ModernGraham valuation model reveals top picks

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Mar 17, 2017
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There are a number of great companies in the market today. The ModernGraham valuation model screened over 800 companies to select five undervalued small-cap companies for value investors.

Each company has been determined to be suitable for the Enterprising Investor according to the ModernGraham approach. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

KB Home (KBH, Financial)

KB Home is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size and insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10 years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from -72 cents in 2013 to an estimated $2.2 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.52% annual earnings loss over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into KB Home revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $25.21. The company pays a dividend of 10 cents per share for a yield of 0.6%. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share) was 7.47, below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its net current asset value (NCAV) of $8.5. (See the full valuation)

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LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH, Financial)

LGI Homes is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg from 39 cents in 2013 to an estimated $2.76 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.6% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into LGI Homes revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $36.13. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg was 11.7, below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its NCAV of $15.24. (See the full valuation)

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Spok Holdings Inc. (SPOK, Financial)

Spok Holdings is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg from $2.08 in 2012 to an estimated $2.83 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.96% annual earnings loss over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Spok Holdings revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $38.13. The company pays a dividend of 50 cents per share for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend-paying stocks today. Its PEmg was 6.58, below the industry average of 68.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its NCAV of $4.56. (See the full valuation)

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Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL, Financial)

Fossil Group is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size and poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg from $4.26 in 2012 to an estimated $4.36 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.81% annual earnings loss over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Fossil Group revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $25.49. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg was 6.88, below the industry average of 49.91, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its NCAV of 64 cents. (See the full valuation)

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Kelly Services Inc. (KELYA, Financial)

Kelly Services is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg from $1.1 in 2013 to an estimated $1.8 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.74% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Kelly Services revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $30.13. The company pays a dividend of 28 cents per share for a yield of 1.3%. Its PEmg was 11.99, below the industry average of 21.9, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its NCAV of $5.19. (See the full valuation)

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Disclosure:Â The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here. This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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