Conagra Brands Posts 1st-Quarter 2018 Results

The packaged foods company beat earnings, revenue expectations

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Packaged foods company Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG, Financial) released its first quarter of fiscal 2018 results on Sept. 28.

The Chicago-based company posted adjusted EPS of 46 cents, a 17.9% increase from 39 cents in the prior-year quarter. The company beat earnings expectations by six cents, producing a positive surprise of 15%.Â

Quarterly revenue of $1.8 billion beat expectations of $1.79 billion, but decreased 4.8% year over year.

By segment, grocery and snack sales were down 2% year over year to $746 million; refrigerated and frozen sales increased 2% year over year to $616 million; international sales declined 2% from the year-ago quarter to $191 million; and foodservice sales fell 6% to $252 million.

The adjusted gross margin increased 26.2 basis points to 29.2% of net sales due to "improvements in price/mix and the impact of divesting lower margin businesses," which offset the impact of input cost inflation.

For full fiscal 2018, Conagra guided -2% to flat net sales growth, -2% to flat organic net sales growth and the adjusted operating margin to range from 15.9% to 16.3%. The effective tax rate is projected to range between 32.5% and 33.5%. EPS is forecasted to be $1.84 to $1.89.Â

President and CEO Sean Connolly said he is confident about Conagra’s ability “to build on this [sales] momentum and drive long-term shareholder value."

The company closed the quarter with approximately $251.4 million in cash on hand and securities and about $2.97 billion in total debt, for a debt-equity ratio of 76.4% versus an industry average of 107.21%.

Conagra Brands is currently trading around $34.23 per share with a market capitalization of $14.19 billion, a price-book (P/B) ratio of 3.65, a price-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.52 and a price-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.75.

The forward P/E ratio is 18.35. When this is multiplied by the 2018 EPS estimate of $1.86, it yields a value of $34.13 per share.

The recommendation rating is 2.4 out of 5. The analysts’ average target price per share is $39.93, which is a 16.7% upside to the current market value. According to the Peter Lynch chart below, however, the stock is currenlty overvalued.

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Conagra Brands distributes an annual dividend of 85 cents through quarterly payments of 21.25 cents, for a dividend yield of 2.56%.

Disclosure: I have no positions in Conagra Brands.