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Chuck Carnevale
Chuck Carnevale
Articles (279)  | Author's Website |

The 6 Most Expensive Stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average: Part 1

Boeing, Caterpillar, Chevron, McDonald’s, Visa and Exxon are currently the 6 most expensive stocks based on operating earnings

October 06, 2017 | About:

Introduction

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average first hit 20,000 in January of this year, it generated quite a buzz within the financial community. Since January, the Dow Jones Index has continued to rise and currently is over 22,700. The Dow Jones, however, is not the only market index currently sitting at or near all-time highs. The broader S&P 500 index is also at a historic peak.

Even though the Dow Jones sits at an all-time high, it does not logically follow that all stocks in the index are at all-time highs. Perhaps more importantly, even though the index is at an all-time high, it does not necessarily mean all the stocks in the Dow Jones are overvalued. On the other hand, since the index is at an all-time high, it might also logically follow that many (if not all) of the stocks in the Dow Jones are overvalued. As I have often pointed out, it is a market of stocks, not a stock market.

Consequently, the only way any of these things can truly be determined is by evaluating each of the individual constituents that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The good news is there are only 30 stocks in the index; therefore, it is not too difficult or overly time-consuming to evaluate each of the constituents independently. But more to the point, I think there is a significant benefit and enlightenment achieved through examining each of the 30 constituents individually.

Then, not only will the veracity of the statement “it is a market of stocks” be validated, but the reality of how different each individual company that makes up the market is also vividly revealed. Therefore, this will be the first of a series of five articles where I will examine each of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial constituents individually. Moreover, I will be presenting the 30 stocks six at a time, in order of valuation highest to lowest. As a prelude to what will be revealed relative to valuation, I intend to illustrate that approximately half of the Dow Jones constituents are currently reasonably valued.

Portfolio review: The 6 most expensive stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average

The following portfolio review lists the six most expensive stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average based on their current blended price-earnings (P/E) ratio. There are many ways to value a stock in addition to the P/E ratio however. Consequently, I suggest the reader also notice the price to cash flow of each of these six Dow constituents. For those investors most interested in dividend income, price to cash flow might be more relevant for higher-yielding, dividend-paying stocks. Furthermore, when ascertaining valuation, other factors such as expected growth need to be considered as well. I will elaborate more fully in the video below.

FAST Graphs analyze out loud valuation analysis

The video below will present a quick overview of each of these Dow constituents based primarily on price relative to earnings and cash flow. For certain constituents, however, I will also evaluate several other metrics. For any reader concerned with the current valuation of the stock market, this video and the subsequent videos that follow in future articles are must-watches. Furthermore, although I will only be providing a cursory due diligence analysis, I believe you will find the video enlightening and, hopefully, entertaining.

Summary and conclusions

In part one of this five-part series, I covered what I consider the six most expensive stocks in the Dow Jones. With my next article, I will look at the next six Dow stocks relative to valuation. I believe you will find the relative valuation of the next six stocks quite similar to these first six. However, with each respective installment, I will be reviewing additional Dow constituents that appear to be more attractively valued.

As an aside, many of you may have seen or read about Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio)’s recent prediction the Dow Jones Industrial Average will someday hit $1 million. Personally, I believe Buffett may, in fact, be correct. But more importantly, that prediction needs to be put into perspective. His timeframe is 100 years, which would imply the Dow Jones increases by pnly 4% a year. Nevertheless, the reason I bring this up is simply to point out stocks have generally risen over the long run.

Consequently, I believe the Dow Jones will increase in value over time. On the other hand, that does not mean stocks will go up ceaselessly. As history has proven, there will be interruptions along the way. Nevertheless, the most vulnerable stocks will be those that are most overvalued just prior to a correction occurring.

Disclosure: Long CVX,V,BA,XOM,MCD at the time of writing. The opinions in this document are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the stocks mentioned or to solicit transactions or clients. Past performance of the companies discussed may not continue and the companies may not achieve the earnings growth as predicted. The information in this document is believed to be accurate, but under no circumstances should a person act upon the information contained within. We do not recommend that anyone act upon any investment information without first consulting an investment advisor as to the suitability of such investments for his specific situation.

About the author:

Chuck Carnevale
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: He has been a Partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX-listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm.

Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in economics and finance from the University of Tampa. He is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.

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