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Holly LaFon
Holly LaFon
Articles (8306) 

John Rogers Comments on Nielsen Holdings

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January 18, 2018 | About:

Nielsen Holdings, plc (NYSE:NLSN) also underperformed during the quarter, declining -11.35% after announcing a negative guidance revision for the legacy Developed Buy business. Unsurprisingly, Nielsen cited continued challenges in the U.S. consumer goods environment. In the meantime, we view the core Watch business as solid, expect the new subscription analytics platform to eventually stabilize the Buy business in developed markets and find growth in emerging economies to be promising. At today’s valuation, the Watch business appears underappreciated and a turnaround in the Buy business is likely a free call option. At 14.1x cash EPS and a 35% discount to our estimate of private market value, the stock is trading at historical lows on both an EBITDA and free cash flow basis. We think the margin of safety1 at these levels is more than sufficient and are adding to our position on weakness.

From John Rogers (Trades, Portfolio)' Ariel Funds 2017 shareholder letter.


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