Global political volatility is leading to heightened levels of political violence and political risk

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Apr 11, 2018
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Aon publishes 2018 Risk Maps for Political Risk, Terrorism and Political Violence

- Political Violence: The likelihood of interstate conflict, even involving major powers, is at the highest point since the end of the Cold War. Growing geopolitical competition and weak leadership in international diplomacy have contributed to increased risks of armed conflict over the last year.

- Terrorism: The number of terrorist attacks in Western countries in 2017 (204) doubled - up from 96 in 2016, though casualties remained at similar levels. A number of war zones internationally continue to serve as incubators for international terrorism, although the global threat from Islamic State seems to be waning somewhat.

- Political Risk: Last year saw political risk increase in 11 countries, with climate change and commodity shocks weakening fiscal positions, which are still struggling to recover from the commodity shock, and exacerbating rising levels of political violence and supply chain disruption.

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