Black Knight: 550,000 Homeowners Regain Incentive to Refinance as Interest Rates Fall Slightly; Refinanceable Population Still Down Nearly 50 Percent from Last Year

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Jan 09, 2019
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- The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 4.55 percent on Dec. 27, 2018, returning interest rate incentive to refinance to approximately 550,000 homeowners who could likely qualify

- 2.43 million homeowners with mortgages can now likely qualify under broad-based criteria and also reduce the interest rate on their first mortgage by at least 0.75 percent by refinancing

- While this represents a 29 percent increase from what had been a 10-year low, the total number of refinance candidates is still down by nearly 50 percent (2.3 million) from last year

- Through Q3 2018, refinances have accounted for just 36 percent of mortgage originations, making 2018 the most purchase-dominant market in 18 years

- As refinances have tended to significantly outperform purchase originations in recent years, the shift to a purchase market bears close watching moving forward

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