Mario Gabelli Comments on Fox Corp

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Jun 17, 2019

Fox Corporation (NASDAQ:FOX) (0.7%) (FOX/FOXA – $35.88/$36.71 – NASDAQ) headquartered in New York City, owns a high-quality collection of cable and television networks focused on news and sports content. Fox News remains a powerful brand and the most watched news channel. Given Fox News’ high ratings, live viewing and position as sole provider of conservative-focused news, we expect the company is in an excellent position to demand increased affiliate fees from distributors. While still small, Fox Nation, an OTT news platform meant to serve as an add-on service for highly engaged Fox News viewers. News is typically watched live which should limit cannibalization from SVOD alternatives such as Netflix and Amazon Prime. News viewership in general and Fox news in particular benefit from increased political engagement associated with a more contentious political cycle. We expect Fox News will be a beneficiary of a potentially extended 2020 political cycle. Fox Broadcast Network should benefit from substantial retransmission revenue growth over the next three years (we expect it could generate an incremental $1 billion of contractually recurring retransmission and reverse compensation revenue over that period). The Fox Broadcast Network broadcasts substantially more sports programming than competing networks. The channel features both Sunday and Thursday Night football broadcasts, Major League Baseball, FIFA soccer, NASCAR and United States Golf Association (USGA) events. Fan engagement and live viewing has made sports programming highly valuable to channels in retransmission renegotiations. The spin-off of Fox Corporation was a taxable event which resulted in a step-up in the company’s tax basis. FOX expects to be able to shield $1.5 billion of taxable income per year for 15 years which should result in a net cash benefit of approximately $360 million per year.

From Mario Gabelli (Trades, Portfolio)'s first-quarter 2019 Value 25 Fund shareholder letter.