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Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (Booz Allen Hamilton Holding) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $40.16 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's earnings power value is $40.16. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -247.42

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.84 27.47 34.68 36.27 38.61

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.34 38.61 38.70 39.17 40.16

Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8,523
DDA 124
Operating Margin % 8.15
SGA * 25% 298
Tax Rate % 18.04
Maintenance Capex 80
Cash and Cash Equivalents 602
Short-Term Debt 99
Long-Term Debt 3,535
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 130

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.15%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8,523 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.15%, Average Adjusted SGA = 298,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,523 * 8.15% +298 = $992.349367778 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 18.04%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $992.349367778 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 992.349367778 * ( 1 - 18.04% ) = $813.3741975524 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 124 * 0.5 * 18.04% = $11.158744205 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 813.3741975524 + 11.158744205 = $824.5329417574 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $80 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's current cash and cash equivalent = $602 Mil.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3,535 + 99 = $3633.757 Mil.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 130 Mil.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 824.5329417574 - 80)/ 9%+602-3633.757 )/130
=40.16

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 40.15575444481-139.51 )/40.15575444481
= -247.42%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Booz Allen Hamilton Holding  (NYSE:BAH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (Booz Allen Hamilton Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8283 Greensboro Drive, Hamilton Building, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp is a provider of management consulting services to the U.S. government. Other services offered include technology, such as cloud computing and cybersecurity consulting, and engineering consulting. The consulting services are focused on defense, intelligence, and civil markets. In addition to the U.S. government, Booz Allen Hamilton provides its management and technology consulting services to large corporations, institutions, and nonprofit organizations. The company assists clients in long-term engagements around the globe.
Executives
Kristine Anderson officer: Executive Vice President 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Melody C Barnes director 1631 MONUMENT AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23220
Ralph W Shrader director, officer: President and CEO, other: Member of 13D Group 8283 GREENSBORO, MCLEAN VA 22102
Horacio Rozanski officer: Executive Vice President, other: Member of 13D Group 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Nancy Laben officer: EVP and General Counsel, other: Member of 13D Group 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Susan L Penfield officer: Executive Vice President 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Elizabeth M Thompson officer: SVP & Chief Personnel Officer, other: Member of 13D Group 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Rory P Read director ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Richard Crowe officer: Executive Vice President 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Matthew Calderone officer: Executive Vice President 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Lloyd Jr Howell officer: Executive Vice President, other: Member of 13D Group 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Thomas Pfeifer officer: Executive Vice President 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Karen M Dahut officer: Senior Vice President, other: Member of 13D Group 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Scott M Murphy officer: VP, PAO & Controller 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Gretchen W Mcclain director XYLEM INC., 1133 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, SUITE N200, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604