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Enstar Group (Enstar Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $269.82 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, Enstar Group's earnings power value is $269.82. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -5.07

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Enstar Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Enstar Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Enstar Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Enstar Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Enstar Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Enstar Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Enstar Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Enstar Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Enstar Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Enstar Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,299
DDA 44
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 100
Tax Rate % -4.59
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,889
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 1,831
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 15

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,299 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 100,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,299 * 0.00% +100 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -4.59%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - -4.59% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 44 * 0.5 * -4.59% = $-1.017981 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + -1.017981 = $-1.017981 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Enstar Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Enstar Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $5,889 Mil.
Enstar Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,831 + 0 = $1831 Mil.
Enstar Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 15 Mil.

Enstar Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -1.017981 - 0)/ 9%+5,889-1831 )/15
=269.82

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 269.81524869983-283.50 )/269.81524869983
= -5.07%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Enstar Group  (NAS:ESGR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Enstar Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Enstar Group (Enstar Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22 Queen Street, Windsor Place, 3rd Floor, Hamilton, BMU, HM JX
Enstar Group Ltd is a (re)insurance group that offers capital release solutions through its network of group companies. It seeks to create value by managing (re)insurance companies and portfolios of (re)insurance and other liability business in run-off and striving to generate an attractive risk-adjusted return from its investment portfolio. Its operations through four reportable segments: Run-off, Assumed Life, Investments, and Legacy Underwriting.
Executives
Silvester Dominic Francis Michael director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CASTLEWOOD HOLDINGS LIMITED, PO BOX HM 2267, WINDSOR PL., 18 QUEEN ST, HAMILTON D0 HM JX
Stone Point Capital Llc director 20 HORSENECK LANE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Poul Albaek Winslow director ONE QUEEN STREET EAST, SUITE 2500, TORONTO A6 M5C 2W5
Girish Ramanathan officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Obaidat Nazar Al officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Stone Point Gp Ltd. director C/O CITCO TRUSTEES (CAYMAN) LIMITED, 89 NEXUS WAY, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1205
Laurence Plumb officer: Chief of Business Operations C/O QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Seema Thaper officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
David Kang-wen Ni officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Matthew Kirk officer: Group Treasurer C/O 22 QUEEN STREET, WINDSOR PLACE, 3RD FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Sharon Anne Beesley director WINDSOR PLACE 3RD FLOOR, 22 QUEEN STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Robert J Campbell director
Michael P Murphy officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 600, DUBLIN CA 94568
Zachary Wolf officer: Chief Financial Officer 411 FIFTH AVE. 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Kathleen Carbone officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1271 AVE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020-1304

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