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KB Home (KB Home) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $68.42 (As of Feb24)
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As of Feb24, KB Home's earnings power value is $68.42. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 10.8

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


KB Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for KB Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

KB Home Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.81 15.71 21.67 28.64 63.67

KB Home Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.74 55.75 59.16 63.67 68.42

Competitive Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, KB Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KB Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, KB Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KB Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



KB Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

KB Home's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 5,686
DDA 31
Operating Margin % 10.95
SGA * 25% 143
Tax Rate % 21.39
Maintenance Capex 29
Cash and Cash Equivalents 668
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 1,719
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 78

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 10.95%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $5,686 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 10.95%, Average Adjusted SGA = 143,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 5,686 * 10.95% +143 = $765.663787951 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 21.39%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $765.663787951 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 765.663787951 * ( 1 - 21.39% ) = $601.8997886651 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 31 * 0.5 * 21.39% = $3.3326491275 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 601.8997886651 + 3.3326491275 = $605.2324377926 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
KB Home's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $29 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. KB Home's current cash and cash equivalent = $668 Mil.
KB Home's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,719 + 0 = $1718.785 Mil.
KB Home's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 78 Mil.

KB Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 605.2324377926 - 29)/ 9%+668-1718.785 )/78
=68.42

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 68.415468129607-61.03 )/68.415468129607
= 10.8%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


KB Home  (NYSE:KBH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


KB Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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KB Home (KB Home) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10990 Wilshire Boulevard, Floor 7, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90024
KB Home is an American construction company that focuses on residential construction. The company builds single-family homes and communities across Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, Texas, North Carolina, Idaho and the Washington, D.C., area. KB Home operates in several markets and focuses on first-time and move-up homebuyers. The company follows a built-to-order model that offers personalized homes at attainable prices based on the market location. The company also invests in land acquisition and development to support future building activities and is also engaged in financial services operations which includes providing mortgage banking services through its joint venture with a third party.
Executives
William R Hollinger officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Brian J Woram officer: EVP and General Counsel C/O H&R BLOCK, ONE H&R BLOCK WAY, KANSAS CITY MO 64105
Melissa Lora director C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Jeff Kaminski officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 26555 NORTHWESTERN HIGHWAY, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Jeffrey T Mezger director, officer: President and CEO 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Jose Miguel Barras director C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Albert Z Praw officer: EVP, Real Estate & Bus. Dev. 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Thomas W. Gilligan director C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Brian R Niccol director 1 GLEN BELL WAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Robert V. Mcgibney officer: EVP and Co-COO C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Jodee A Kozlak director 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-3255, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Matthew W Mandino officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BLVD., 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Kevin Paul Eltife director C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Arthur Reginald Collins director 3911 LORCOM LANE, ARLINGTON VA 22207
James C. Weaver director C/O KB HOME, 10990 WILSHIRE BLVD., 7TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024