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Methode Electronics (Methode Electronics) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $21.90 (As of Jan24)
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As of Jan24, Methode Electronics's earnings power value is $21.90. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 46.89

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Methode Electronics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Methode Electronics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Methode Electronics Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.97 21.04 26.76 26.96 26.65

Methode Electronics Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.44 26.65 24.89 23.86 21.90

Competitive Comparison

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Methode Electronics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Methode Electronics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Methode Electronics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Methode Electronics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Methode Electronics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Methode Electronics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,112
DDA 52
Operating Margin % 9.34
SGA * 25% 34
Tax Rate % 10.05
Maintenance Capex 36
Cash and Cash Equivalents 123
Short-Term Debt 7
Long-Term Debt 351
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 35

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 9.34%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,112 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 9.34%, Average Adjusted SGA = 34,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,112 * 9.34% +34 = $138.0479274 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 10.05%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $138.0479274 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 138.0479274 * ( 1 - 10.05% ) = $124.17273021703 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 52 * 0.5 * 10.05% = $2.5921529 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 124.17273021703 + 2.5921529 = $126.76488311703 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Methode Electronics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $36 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Methode Electronics's current cash and cash equivalent = $123 Mil.
Methode Electronics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 351 + 7 = $357.5 Mil.
Methode Electronics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 35 Mil.

Methode Electronics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 126.76488311703 - 36)/ 9%+123-357.5 )/35
=21.90

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 21.898331545965-11.63 )/21.898331545965
= 46.89%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Methode Electronics  (NYSE:MEI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Methode Electronics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Methode Electronics (Methode Electronics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8750 West Bryn Mawr Avenue, Suite 1000, Chicago, IL, USA, 60631-3518
Methode Electronics Inc makes component and subsystem devices employing electrical, radio remote control, electronic, wireless, and sensing technologies. The firm is organized in various business segments: Automotive, Industrial, interface and Medical. The Automotive segment supplies electronic and electro-mechanical devices and related products to automobile. The Industrial segment manufactures external lighting solutions, industrial safety radio remote controls, braided flexible cables and custom power-product assemblies. The Interface segment provides a variety of copper and fiber-optic interface and interface solutions. The Medical segment is made up of the Company's medical device business, Dabir Surfaces, its surface support technology aimed at pressure injury prevention.
Executives
Donald W Duda officer: President
Walter J Aspatore director 255 E BROWN STREET, SUITE 120, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Lawrence B Skatoff director 200 SOUTH MICHIGAN AVE, CHICAGO IL 60604
Brian J Cadwallader director 5757 N GREEN BAY AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Darren Dawson director C/O METHODE ELECTRONICS, INC., 7401 WEST WILSON AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60706
Joseph Elias Khoury officer: Vice President 7401 W. WILSON AVENUE, HARWOOD HEIGHTS IL 60706
Kerry A. Vyverberg officer: General Counsel 8750 W. BRYN MAWR AVE., SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60631
Timothy Glandon officer: VP&GM NA Automotive 7401 W. WILSON AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60706
Janie Goddard director C/O ACON - 1133 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NW, SUITE 700, WASHINGTON DC 20036
Tsoumas Ronald L.g. officer: Controller & Treasurer 7401 W. WILSON AVE., CHICAGO IL 60706
Anil Shetty officer: VP Methode & Pres. Dabir Surf. 7401 WEST WILSON AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60706
Kevin Michael Martin officer: Vice President, North America 8750 WEST BRYN MAWR AVENUE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60631
Mary A Lindsey director 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Therese M Bobek director 685 SKYE LN, INVERNESS IL 60010
David P Blom director 200 OLD WILSON BRIDGE RD, COLUMBUS OH 43085