GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Verisk Analytics Inc (NAS:VRSK) » Definitions » Earnings Power Value (EPV)

Verisk Analytics (Verisk Analytics) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $37.62 (As of Dec23)
View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

As of Dec23, Verisk Analytics's earnings power value is $37.62. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -490.59

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Verisk Analytics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Verisk Analytics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Verisk Analytics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.37 19.81 21.32 25.72 37.62

Verisk Analytics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.72 33.58 36.65 37.77 37.62

Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Verisk Analytics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Verisk Analytics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Verisk Analytics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Verisk Analytics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Verisk Analytics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Verisk Analytics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,504
DDA 337
Operating Margin % 43.12
SGA * 25% 100
Tax Rate % 19.90
Maintenance Capex 235
Cash and Cash Equivalents 303
Short-Term Debt 48
Long-Term Debt 3,048
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 145

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 43.12%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,504 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 43.12%, Average Adjusted SGA = 100,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,504 * 43.12% +100 = $1179.3866475 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 19.90%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1179.3866475 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1179.3866475 * ( 1 - 19.90% ) = $944.68280771426 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 337 * 0.5 * 19.90% = $33.57015345 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 944.68280771426 + 33.57015345 = $978.25296116426 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Verisk Analytics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $235 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Verisk Analytics's current cash and cash equivalent = $303 Mil.
Verisk Analytics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3,048 + 48 = $3095.4 Mil.
Verisk Analytics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 145 Mil.

Verisk Analytics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 978.25296116426 - 235)/ 9%+303-3095.4 )/145
=37.62

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 37.619903844084-222.18 )/37.619903844084
= -490.59%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Verisk Analytics  (NAS:VRSK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Verisk Analytics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Verisk Analytics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Verisk Analytics (Verisk Analytics) Business Description

Address
545 Washington Boulevard, Jersey City, NJ, USA, 07310-1686
Verisk Analytics is the leading provider of statistical, actuarial, and underwriting data for the United States' property and casualty insurance industry. Verisk leverages a vast contributory database and proprietary data assets to develop analytical tools helping insurance providers to better assess and price risk, achieve operational efficiency and optimize claim settlement processes. While Verisk also offers tools to quantify costs after loss events occur and to detect fraudulent activity, it is expanding into adjacent markets of life insurance, marketing, and non-U.S. operations.
Executives
Nicholas Daffan officer: Chief Information Officer C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Therese M Vaughan director VALIDUS HOLDINGS, THE CHARTIS BUILDING / 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Samuel G Liss director VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Bruce Edward Hansen director 17732 VINEYARD LANE, POWAY CA 92064
Wendy E Lane director
David J. Grover officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O VERISK ANALYSIS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Christopher M Foskett director C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310-1686
David B Wright director C/O EMC CORPORATION, 176 SOUTH STREET, HOPKINTON MA 01748
Kathy Card Beckles officer: EVP, Gen Counsel and Corp Sec C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 073I0
Elizabeth Mann officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Olumide Soroye director 6920 SEAWAY BLVD., EVERETT WA 98203
Lee Shavel officer: EVP and CFO ONE LIBERTY PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10006
Jeffrey J Dailey director 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Kimberly S Stevenson director 199 FREMONT STREET, 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Scott G Stephenson officer: EVP & COO C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310-1686

Verisk Analytics (Verisk Analytics) Headlines