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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $8.50 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's earnings power value is $8.50. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -1066.26

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -14.61 -9.18 -5.27 0.05 8.24

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.30 3.72 6.25 8.24 8.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 593.3
DDA 69.7
Operating Margin % 6.44
SGA * 25% 32.5
Tax Rate % -16.82
Maintenance Capex 19.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 463.3
Short-Term Debt 1.1
Long-Term Debt 479.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 72.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.44%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $593.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.44%, Average Adjusted SGA = 32.5,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 593.3 * 6.44% +32.5 = $70.6631293 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -16.82%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $70.6631293 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 70.6631293 * ( 1 - -16.82% ) = $82.546194438735 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 69.7 * 0.5 * -16.82% = $-5.863644486 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 82.546194438735 + -5.863644486 = $76.682549952735 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $19.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $463.3 Mil.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 479.0 + 1.1 = $480.097 Mil.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 72.3 Mil.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 76.682549952735 - 19.9)/ 9%+463.3-480.097 )/72.3
=8.50

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 8.5015094290172-99.15 )/8.5015094290172
= -1066.26%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings  (NAS:MTSI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 Chelmsford Street, Lowell, MA, USA, 01851
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc is a provider of analog, digital and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions to original equipment manufacturers and distributors. These solutions are found in systems for industrial, medical, scientific, and test and measurement markets. The firm's portfolio of products includes integrated circuits, multichip modules, power pallets and transistors, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and complete subsystems. Roughly a third of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States, with the rest coming from China, Taiwan, and other countries across the world.
Executives
Robert Dennehy officer: SVP, Operations 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Stephen G Daly director 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Douglas J Carlson officer: SVP & GM, RF & Microwave MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS INC., 100 CHELMSFORD ST., LOWELL MA 01851
Dong Hyun Hwang officer: SVP, Global Sales 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
John Kober officer: Senior VP and CFO MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Ambra R. Roth officer: SVP, GC, HR & Secretary C/O MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS, 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
John L Ocampo director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Geoffrey G Ribar director
Wayne Mack Struble officer: SVP, Advanced Semiconductor C/O MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS, 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Jihye Whang Rosenband director C/O MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS, 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Peter Y Chung director, other: Indirect GP of 10% Owner C/O SUMMIT PARTNERS, 222 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLR, BOSTON MA 02116
Charles R Bland director
John Ritchie director 303 VELOCITY WAY, FOSTER CITY X1 94404
Hegarty Conor Noel officer: PFO and PAO C/O MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS, 100 CHELMSFORD STREET, LOWELL MA 01851
Vivek Rajgarhia officer: SVP & GM, Lightwave MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 CHELMSFORD ST., LOWELL MA 01851