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MYR Group (MYR Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $38.00 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, MYR Group's earnings power value is $38.00. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -322.71

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


MYR Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MYR Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MYR Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.90 17.35 29.73 32.10 38.00

MYR Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.10 35.55 35.86 36.05 38.00

Competitive Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, MYR Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MYR Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, MYR Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MYR Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



MYR Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

MYR Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,694
DDA 51
Operating Margin % 3.60
SGA * 25% 50
Tax Rate % 27.16
Maintenance Capex 52
Cash and Cash Equivalents 25
Short-Term Debt 18
Long-Term Debt 55
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 17

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 3.60%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,694 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 3.60%, Average Adjusted SGA = 50,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,694 * 3.60% +50 = $147.384119965 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 27.16%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $147.384119965 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 147.384119965 * ( 1 - 27.16% ) = $107.35017145891 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 51 * 0.5 * 27.16% = $6.912494566 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 107.35017145891 + 6.912494566 = $114.26266602491 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
MYR Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $52 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. MYR Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $25 Mil.
MYR Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 55 + 18 = $73.606 Mil.
MYR Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 17 Mil.

MYR Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 114.26266602491 - 52)/ 9%+25-73.606 )/17
=38.00

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 37.995285772979-160.61 )/37.995285772979
= -322.71%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


MYR Group  (NAS:MYRG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


MYR Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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MYR Group (MYR Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12121 Grant Street, Suite 610, Thornton, CO, USA, 80241
MYR Group Inc is a U.S.-based holding company that provides specialty electrical construction services through its subsidiaries. The company operates through two segments. The transmission and distribution segment provides designing, engineering, procurement, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair services on transmission and distribution network and substation facilities. The commercial and industrial segment provides services such as the design, installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial and industrial wiring, installation of traffic networks, and the installation of bridges. MYR Group generates the majority of its sales from the United States and Canada.
Executives
Swartz Richard S. Jr. officer: Group VP MYR GROUP INC., 1701 GOLF ROAD SUITE 3-1012, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008-4210
William Fry officer: VP, CLO and Secretary 10370 RICHMOND AVE, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77042
Don A. Egan officer: SVP and COO C&I 12121 GRANT STREET, SUITE 610, THORNTON CO 80241
Maurice E. Moore director 1100 LATHROP AVENUE, RIVER FOREST IL 60305
Betty R. Johnson director 1115 CENTRAL AVE #239, NAPLES FL 34103
Jennifer Elaine Lowry director 2 HOLLINS AVE, BALTIMORE MD 21210
Jeffrey J. Waneka officer: SVP and COO C&I 1701 GOLF ROAD, SUITE 3-1012, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008
Tod M. Cooper officer: Senior Vice President 1701 GOLF RD, SUITE 3-1012, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008
Bradley Thede Favreau director 438 CLEARMONT AVE, APT C, BROOKLYN NY 11238
Kelly Michelle Huntington officer: Senior VP 7575 NORTH PENNSYLVANIA STREET, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46240
Ajoy Hari Karna director 2501 M ST NW, UNIT 508, WASHINGTON DC 20037
William A Koertner director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO MYR GROUP INC., 1701 GOLF ROAD SUITE 3-1012, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008-4210
Shirin O'connor director 3054 CREEKSIDE DRIVE, SENECA SC 29672
William Patterson director 60 ARDMORE ROAD, HO-HO-KUS NJ 07423
Gary Ronald Johnson director 6599 PINNACLE DRIVE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55346