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AquaBounty Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-10.42 (As of Mar22)
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As of Mar22, AquaBounty Technologies's earnings power value is $-10.42. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


AquaBounty Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for AquaBounty Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AquaBounty Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

AquaBounty Technologies Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, AquaBounty Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

AquaBounty Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, AquaBounty Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AquaBounty Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



AquaBounty Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

AquaBounty Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.52
DDA 1.21
Operating Margin % -14,565.31
SGA * 25% 1.78
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 8.19
Cash and Cash Equivalents 178.88
Short-Term Debt 0.73
Long-Term Debt 8.63
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 71.00

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -14,565.31%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = -14,565.31%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.78,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.52 * -14,565.31% +1.78 = $-73.643788125 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-73.643788125 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -73.643788125 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $-73.643788125 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.21 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -73.643788125 + 0 = $-73.643788125 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
AquaBounty Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $8.19 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. AquaBounty Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $178.88 Mil.
AquaBounty Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 8.63 + 0.73 = $9.351 Mil.
AquaBounty Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 71.00 Mil.

AquaBounty Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -73.643788125 - 8.19)/ 9%+178.88-9.351 )/71.00
=-10.42

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -10.418947934858-1.27 )/-10.418947934858
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


AquaBounty Technologies  (NAS:AQB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


AquaBounty Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AquaBounty Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AquaBounty Technologies Business Description

AquaBounty Technologies logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2 Mill and Main Place, Suite 395, Maynard, MA, USA, 01754
AquaBounty Technologies Inc is engaged in the field of land-based aquaculture and the use of technology for improving its productivity and sustainability. The company's objective is to ensure the availability of high-quality seafood to meet global consumer demand while addressing critical production constraints in the most popular farmed species.
Executives
Kirk Randal J 10 percent owner 1881 GROVE AVENUE RADFORD VA 24141
Czypinski Alana director, 10 percent owner 1881 GROVE AVENUE RADFORD VA 24141
Turk James C Jr director TWO CLOCK TOWER PLACE SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01745
Frank David A officer: See Remarks 2 MILL & MAIN PLACE, SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01754
Sterling Rick L. director 20374 SENECA MEADOWS PARKWAY GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Huber Richard L director 2 MILL & MAIN PLACE, SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01754
Fisher Theodore John director 1881 GROVE AVENUE RADFORD VA 24141
St.clare Christine director 405 EAGLEVIEW BLVD. EXTON PA 19341
Clothier Richard J director TWO CLOCK TOWER PLACE SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01745
Rojas Alejandro officer: See Remarks TWO CLOCK TOWER PLACE SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01745
Wulf Sylvia director, officer: See Remarks 2 MILL & MAIN PLACE, SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01754
Olsen Angela M officer: See Remarks C/O AQUABOUNTY TECHNOLOGIES, INC. 2 MILL & MAIN PLACE, SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01754
Intrexon Corp 10 percent owner 20374 SENECA MEADOWS PARKWAY GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Perez Jeffrey Thomas director 20358 SENECA MEADOWS PARKWAY GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Stotish Ronald L director, officer: See Remarks 2 MILL & MAIN PLACE, SUITE 395 MAYNARD MA 01754

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