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Array Technologies (Array Technologies) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $0.66 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, Array Technologies's earnings power value is $0.66. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -1722.57

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Array Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Array Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 0.66

Array Technologies Quarterly Data
Dec18 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 0.66

Competitive Comparison

For the Solar subindustry, Array Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Array Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Array Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Array Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Array Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Array Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,073
DDA 42
Operating Margin % 5.08
SGA * 25% 24
Tax Rate % 33.62
Maintenance Capex 7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 249
Short-Term Debt 70
Long-Term Debt 661
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 152

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 5.08%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,073 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 5.08%, Average Adjusted SGA = 24,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,073 * 5.08% +24 = $78.00519944 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 33.62%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $78.00519944 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 78.00519944 * ( 1 - 33.62% ) = $51.778291284283 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 42 * 0.5 * 33.62% = $7.03725271 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 51.778291284283 + 7.03725271 = $58.815543994283 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Array Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Array Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $249 Mil.
Array Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 661 + 70 = $730.471 Mil.
Array Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 152 Mil.

Array Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 58.815543994283 - 7)/ 9%+249-730.471 )/152
=0.66

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.6551203719644-11.94 )/0.6551203719644
= -1722.57%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Array Technologies  (NAS:ARRY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Array Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Array Technologies (Array Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3901 Midway Place NE, Albuquerque, NM, USA, 87109
Array Technologies Inc manufacturer of ground-mounting systems used in solar energy projects. The company's product is an integrated system of steel supports, electric motors, gearboxes and electronic controllers referred to as a single-axis tracker that move solar panels throughout the day to maintain an optimal orientation to the sun, which increases their energy production. Its operations are in the United States, Australia, Spain, Brazil and Rest of the World with the United States deriving the majority of the revenue.
Executives
Tyson Hottinger officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Nipul M. Patel officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Neil Manning officer: Chief Operations Officer 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Thierry Marin-martinod officer: Chief Technology Officer 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Tracy C Jokinen director 5995 OPUS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Kenneth R. Stacherski officer: Chief Operations Officer 500 W MONROE, CHICAGO IL 60661
Gerrard Schmid director C/O DIEBOLD NIXDORF, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR ROAD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Terrance L Collins officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 475 HALF DAY ROAD, SUITE 500, LINCOLNSHIRE IL 60069
Erica Brinker officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Kevin G. Hostetler director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1925 WEST FIELD COURT, SUITE 200, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Paulo Almirante director 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Travis Rose officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Bilal Khan director C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Jayanthi Iyengar director C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Ati Investment Parent, Llc 10 percent owner C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109

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