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Guardant Health Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-23.88 (As of Mar22)
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As of Mar22, Guardant Health's earnings power value is $-23.88. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Guardant Health Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guardant Health's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guardant Health Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only - - - - -

Guardant Health Quarterly Data
Dec16 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -23.88

Competitive Comparison

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Guardant Health's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Guardant Health Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Guardant Health's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guardant Health's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Guardant Health Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Guardant Health's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 218.5
DDA 13.4
Operating Margin % -92.39
SGA * 25% 53.8
Tax Rate % 0.61
Maintenance Capex 34.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 962.3
Short-Term Debt 16.6
Long-Term Debt 1,360.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 101.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -92.39%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = -92.39%, Average Adjusted SGA = 53.8,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 218.5 * -92.39% +53.8 = $-148.14204929 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.61%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-148.14204929 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -148.14204929 * ( 1 - 0.61% ) = $-147.2346792381 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 13.4 * 0.5 * 0.61% = $0.0409241875 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -147.2346792381 + 0.0409241875 = $-147.1937550506 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Guardant Health's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $34.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Guardant Health's current cash and cash equivalent = $962.3 Mil.
Guardant Health's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,360.8 + 16.6 = $1377.396 Mil.
Guardant Health's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 101.9 Mil.

Guardant Health's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -147.1937550506 - 34.4)/ 9%+962.3-1377.396 )/101.9
=-23.88

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -23.881253162302-35.91 )/-23.881253162302
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Guardant Health  (NAS:GH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Guardant Health Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guardant Health's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guardant Health Business Description

Guardant Health logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
505 Penobscot Drive, Redwood City, CA, USA, 94063
Guardant Health, based in Redwood City, California, provides cancer blood tests and analytics for clinical and research use, and the firm maintains research partnerships with large biopharmaceutical companies. The company offers Guardant 360, a blood-based (liquid biopsy) test for treatment selection in advanced stage cancer, and Guardant Omni, a broader gene panel for immuno-oncology research. The company's pipeline includes Guardant Reveal (formerly Lunar-1), for cancer recurrence detection in survivors, and Lunar-2, a liquid biopsy for early detection of cancer in higher-risk individuals, with an initial focus on colorectal cancer. Additionally, Guardant offers research development services. The United States accounts for 90% of total revenue, and other markets the remaining 10%.
Executives
Talasaz Amirali director, officer: Chairman, President and COO 18 ISABELLA AVENUE ATHERTON CA 94027
Kaul Samir director C/O KHOSLA VENTURES 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, BLDG. 3, SUITE 170 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Meresman Stanley J director 2071 HUNTINGTON LANE LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Svf Bluebird (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED 27 HOSPITAL ROAD GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Svf Enterprise (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED 27 HOSPITAL ROAD GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Sb Investment Advisers (uk) Ltd 10 percent owner 69 GROSVENOR STREET LONDON X0 W1K 3JP
Softbank Vision Fund (aiv M1) L.p. 10 percent owner 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE WILMINGTON DE 19808
Svf Endurance (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED 27 HOSPITAL ROAD GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Clark Ian T director SOLAZYME, INC. 225 GATEWAY BLVD. SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Eltoukhy Helmy director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2 BARRY LANE ATHERTON CA 94027
Bertocci Derek A officer: Chief Financial Officer 3070 ORCHARD DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Saia John G. officer: See Remarks C/O ACELRX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 351 GALVESTON DRIVE REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Gadde Vijaya director C/O TWITTER INC 1355 MARKET STREET SUITE 900 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Jallal Bahija director 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Nishar Dipchand director C/O LINKEDIN CORPORATION 2029 STIERLIN COURT MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043

Guardant Health Headlines

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