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National Research Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $16.50 (As of Mar22)
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As of Mar22, National Research's earnings power value is $16.50. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -96.72

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


National Research Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Research's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Research Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.45 8.11 10.65 13.66 16.43

National Research Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.43 15.18 15.90 16.43 16.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Health Information Services subindustry, National Research's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

National Research Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, National Research's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Research's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



National Research Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

National Research's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 130.9
DDA 5.9
Operating Margin % 31.41
SGA * 25% 8.6
Tax Rate % 19.42
Maintenance Capex 4.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 47.3
Short-Term Debt 4.3
Long-Term Debt 21.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 25.4

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 31.41%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = 31.41%, Average Adjusted SGA = 8.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 130.9 * 31.41% +8.6 = $49.697762048 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 19.42%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $49.697762048 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 49.697762048 * ( 1 - 19.42% ) = $40.045462703037 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 5.9 * 0.5 * 19.42% = $0.576386694 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 40.045462703037 + 0.576386694 = $40.621849397037 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
National Research's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $4.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. National Research's current cash and cash equivalent = $47.3 Mil.
National Research's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 21.2 + 4.3 = $25.494 Mil.
National Research's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 25.4 Mil.

National Research's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 40.621849397037 - 4.9)/ 9%+47.3-25.494 )/25.4
=16.50

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 16.500892476057-32.46 )/16.500892476057
= -96.72%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


National Research  (NAS:NRC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


National Research Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Research's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


National Research Business Description

National Research logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1245 Q Street, Lincoln, NE, USA, 68508
National Research Corp is a provider of analytics and insights that facilitate measurement and improvement of the patient and employee experience while also increasing patient engagement and customer loyalty for healthcare providers, payers, and other healthcare organizations. Its portfolio of solutions represents a set of capabilities that individually and collectively provide value to clients. The solutions are offered at an enterprise level through the Voice of the Customer platform, The Governance Institute, and legacy Experience solutions. It operates in the US and Canada, of which key revenue is derived from the US.
Executives
Jackson Steven D. officer: President C/O NATIONAL RESEARCH CORPORATION 1245 Q STREET LINCOLN NE 68508
Martin Joann M director 6221 ANDREW COURT LINCOLN NE 68512
Nunnelly John N director P.O. BOX 2175 AMHERST MA 01004
Karas Kevin R officer: SVP Finance, CFO, Treas & Secy C/O NATIONAL RESEARCH CORPORATION 1245 Q STREET LINCOLN NE 68508
Berwick Donald M director C/O NATIONAL RESEARCH CORPORATION 1245 Q STREET LINCOLN NE 68508
Mowry Barbara director P.O. BOX 103115 DENVER CO 80250
Amandla Mk Trust 10 percent owner C/O THE BRYN MAWR TRUST COMPANY OF DELAW 20 MONTCHANIN RD, SUITE 100 GREENVILLE DE 19807
Hays Michael D. director, officer: CEO C/O NATIONAL RESEARCH CORPORATION 1245 Q STREET LINCOLN NE 68508
K/i/e Trust Under Agreement 10/24/18 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER TRUST COMPANY OF DELAWARE 1007 N. ORANGE ST., SUITE 1450 WILMINGTON DE 19801
Endacott Kent E. 10 percent owner C/O WOODS & AITKEN LLP 301 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 500 LINCOLN NE 68508
Beans Patrick E director, officer: CFO and Secretary AMANDLA LLC 709 PIER 2 LINCOLN NE 68528
Warden Gail L director 250 WASHINGTON RD GROSSE POINTE MI 48230
Henricks Susan L officer: President and COO C/O NATIONAL RESEARCH CORPORATION 1245 Q STREET LINCOLN NE 68508
Schorr Paul C Iii director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SCHORR PAUL C III a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Peetz Jeffery T 10 percent owner WOODS & AITKEN LLP 301 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 500 LINCOLN NE 68508
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