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Orgenesis Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-21.52 (As of Dec21)
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As of Dec21, Orgenesis's earnings power value is $-21.52. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Orgenesis Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orgenesis's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orgenesis Annual Data
Trend Nov12 Nov13 Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -3.75 -7.16 -10.07 -21.52

Orgenesis Quarterly Data
Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18 Aug18 Nov18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -10.07 -14.43 -17.00 -19.62 -21.52

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Orgenesis's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Orgenesis Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Orgenesis's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orgenesis's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Orgenesis Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Orgenesis's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 13.83
DDA 2.47
Operating Margin % -316.40
SGA * 25% 3.55
Tax Rate % 1.33
Maintenance Capex 6.74
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5.47
Short-Term Debt 6.38
Long-Term Debt 5.46
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 24.26

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -316.40%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = -316.40%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.55,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 13.83 * -316.40% +3.55 = $-40.221632116 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1.33%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-40.221632116 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -40.221632116 * ( 1 - 1.33% ) = $-39.688293274142 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.47 * 0.5 * 1.33% = $0.016345602 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -39.688293274142 + 0.016345602 = $-39.671947672142 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Orgenesis's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $6.74 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Orgenesis's current cash and cash equivalent = $5.47 Mil.
Orgenesis's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5.46 + 6.38 = $11.84 Mil.
Orgenesis's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 24.26 Mil.

Orgenesis's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -39.671947672142 - 6.74)/ 9%+5.47-11.84 )/24.26
=-21.52

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -21.518996827032-2.10 )/-21.518996827032
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Orgenesis  (NAS:ORGS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Orgenesis Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orgenesis's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orgenesis Business Description

Orgenesis logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20271 Goldenrod Lane, Germantown, MD, USA, 20876
Orgenesis Inc is a part of the healthcare sector. It is a fully-integrated biopharmaceutical company focused on developing trans-differentiation technologies for diabetes and vertically integrating manufacturing that can optimize its abilities to scale-up its technologies for clinical trials and eventual commercialization. The group operates in two segments namely CDMO and POC. The company is also engaged in applying its disciplined execution to emerging technologies of other cell therapy markets in such areas as cell-based cancer immunotherapies and neurodegenerative diseases.
Executives
Sidransky David director JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY 720 RUTLAND AVENUE BALTIMORE MD 21205
Reithinger Neil officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 14950 N. 83RD PLACE SUITE 1 SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Philips Mario director C/O ATMI, INC DANBURY CT 06810
Ferber Sarah officer: Chief Scientific Officer 17B HAHASKALA STREET TEL AVIV L3 67890
Yachin Guy director 7 ORCHARD WAY N POTOMAC MD 20854
Nanda Ashish director 2301, 23RD FLOOR, TIFFANY TOWERS CLUSTER W, JLT, DUBAI, UAE DUBAI C0 4452
Bedoret Denis officer: See Remarks 48, RUE AUGUSTE PICCARD GOSSELIES C9 6041
Universite Libre De Bruxelles other: less than 10% AVENUE F, ROOSEVELT, 50 BRUSSELS C9 1050
Theodorus Ii Sa other: less than 10% ALLEE DE LA RECHERCHE, 12 BRUSSELS C9 1070
Theodorus Sca other: less than 10% ALLEE DE LA RECHERCHE, 12 BRUSSELS C9 1070
Belenger Olivier other: less than 10% DIEWEG, 69 BRUSSELS C9 1070
Shvartz Oded 10 percent owner 130 BIRUINTEI BVD. PANTELIMON, ILFOV S5 0000000
Bultot Hugues director AVENUE DE L??HORIZON 24 WOLUWE SAINT PIERRE C9 1150
Buyse Chris Georges Frans director BAILLET LATOURLEI 119A BRUSSELS C9 2390
Tenne Joseph officer: CFO Treasurer Secretary 6225 NEIL ROAD, SUITE 300 C/O ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES, INC. RENO NV 89511

Orgenesis Headlines

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