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CPI Card Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-3.57 (As of Sep21)
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As of Sep21, CPI Card Group's earnings power value is $-3.57. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


CPI Card Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CPI Card Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CPI Card Group Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -0.84 -0.94 -7.37

CPI Card Group Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.36 -7.37 -7.50 -3.96 -3.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, CPI Card Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

CPI Card Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, CPI Card Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CPI Card Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



CPI Card Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

CPI Card Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 284.9
DDA 17.1
Operating Margin % 6.86
SGA * 25% 16.8
Tax Rate % 34.95
Maintenance Capex 4.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 20.9
Short-Term Debt 3.5
Long-Term Debt 303.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 11.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.86%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.86%, Average Adjusted SGA = 16.8,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 284.9 * 6.86% +16.8 = $36.341218474 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 34.95%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $36.341218474 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 36.341218474 * ( 1 - 34.95% ) = $23.639599205152 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 17.1 * 0.5 * 34.95% = $2.985199861 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 23.639599205152 + 2.985199861 = $26.624799066152 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
CPI Card Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $4.7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. CPI Card Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $20.9 Mil.
CPI Card Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 303.3 + 3.5 = $306.8 Mil.
CPI Card Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 11.8 Mil.

CPI Card Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 26.624799066152 - 4.7)/ 9%+20.9-306.8 )/11.8
=-3.57

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.5688814813381-20.31 )/-3.5688814813381
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


CPI Card Group  (NAS:PMTS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


CPI Card Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CPI Card Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CPI Card Group Business Description

CPI Card Group logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 522220 SIC : 6153
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10368 West Centennial Road, Littleton, CO, USA, 80127
CPI Card Group Inc is a payment technology company engaged in providing financial payment card solutions and services. It offers credit, debit and prepaid cards. The business segments of the group are Debit and Credit, which produces Financial Payment Cards and provides integrated card services to card-issuing banks primarily in the United States, and Prepaid Debit, which provides integrated card services to Prepaid Debit Card program managers primarily in the United States. It derives key revenue from the Debit and Credit segment.
Executives
Scheirman Scott director, officer: President & CEO THE WESTERN UNION COMPANY 12500 EAST BELFORD AVENUE ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Dubin Lane officer: SVP & GM of Pers., Ppd. & Iss. C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON IL 80127
Kilgore Sarah officer: Chief Legal & Compliance Off. C/O CPI CARD GROUP, INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Lowe John Daniel officer: CFO C/O CPI CARD GROUP 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY, SUITE 200 LITTLETON CO 80127
Dimaggio Guy officer: SVP and GM of Secure Card C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Frasier Loretta G officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Williams Sarah Elizabeth officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Sheinbaum Marc director 24 DEERFIELD ROAD CHAPPAQUA NY 10514
Peters Nicholas A director 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON CO 80127
Pearce Robert director 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON CO 80127
Pearce Douglas director C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Soranno Keating Valerie director C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Jacoba Lisa officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON CO 80127
Bohrer Jason officer: GM & SVP Secure Card C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD LITTLETON CO 80127
Tavares Silvio director 20 TIPTOE LANE BURLINGAME CA 94010

CPI Card Group Headlines

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