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Strategic Education Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $41.21 (As of Sep21)
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As of Sep21, Strategic Education's earnings power value is $41.21. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -40.15

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Strategic Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Strategic Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Strategic Education Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 65.88 58.01 43.69 46.66 32.65

Strategic Education Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.74 32.65 34.42 38.12 41.21

Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Strategic Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Strategic Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Strategic Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Strategic Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Strategic Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Strategic Education's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 819
DDA 76
Operating Margin % 11.14
SGA * 25% 60
Tax Rate % 26.94
Maintenance Capex 29
Cash and Cash Equivalents 277
Short-Term Debt 26
Long-Term Debt 281
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 24

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 11.14%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = 11.14%, Average Adjusted SGA = 60,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 819 * 11.14% +60 = $151.158255836 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.94%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $151.158255836 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 151.158255836 * ( 1 - 26.94% ) = $110.43622171378 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 76 * 0.5 * 26.94% = $10.2377388 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 110.43622171378 + 10.2377388 = $120.67396051378 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Strategic Education's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $29 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Strategic Education's current cash and cash equivalent = $277 Mil.
Strategic Education's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 281 + 26 = $306.361 Mil.
Strategic Education's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 24 Mil.

Strategic Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 120.67396051378 - 29)/ 9%+277-306.361 )/24
=41.21

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 41.213642485972-57.76 )/41.213642485972
= -40.15%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Strategic Education  (NAS:STRA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Strategic Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Strategic Education Business Description

Strategic Education logo
Industry
Consumer Defensive » Education NAICS : 611310 SIC : 8299
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2303 Dulles Station Boulevard, Herndon, VA, USA, 20171
Strategic Education Inc is engaged in providing educational services. It offers flexible and affordable associate, bachelor's, master's, and doctoral programs. Strategic Education provides courses in the eastern United States. The group operates through segments namely: Strayer University Segment, Capella University Segment, and Australia/New Zealand Segment.
Executives
Grusky Robert R director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Casteen John T Iii director 301 S. COLLEGE STREET 30TH FLOOR, NC0630 CHARLOTTE NC 28288-0630
Gilligan J Kevin director, Vice Chairman P O BOX 1441 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Fick Nathaniel C. director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION 2303 DULLES STATION BLVD. HERNDON VA 20171
Dallas H James director 127 PUBLIC SQUARE CLEVELAND OH 44114
Brogley Rita D director 225 SOUTH 6TH STREET, 9TH FLOOR MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Waite G Thomas Iii director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Beason Charlotte F director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Aprahamian Thomas J officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Hokenson Christa officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O STRATEGIC EDUCATION, INC. 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Mcdonnell Raymond Karl director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Jackson Daniel Wayne officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC. 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Watt Andrew E officer: Chief Operating Officer 225 SOUTH SIXTH STREET 9TH FLOOR MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Herraiz Lizette Benedi officer: General Counsel 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171
Silberman Robert S director, officer: Executive Chairman C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD HERNDON VA 20171

Strategic Education Headlines

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