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Navidea Biopharmaceuticals (Navidea Biopharmaceuticals) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-3.06 (As of Sep23)
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As of Sep23, Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's earnings power value is $-3.06. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1,101.10 -702.83 -466.81 -22.90 -26.08

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -22.31 -26.08 -21.40 -6.95 -3.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.05
DDA 0.10
Operating Margin % -59,827.52
SGA * 25% 1.68
Tax Rate % 0.08
Maintenance Capex 0.31
Cash and Cash Equivalents 3.87
Short-Term Debt 1.26
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 99.36

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -59,827.52%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.05 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -59,827.52%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.68,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.05 * -59,827.52% +1.68 = $-27.27621847 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.08%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-27.27621847 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -27.27621847 * ( 1 - 0.08% ) = $-27.254124733039 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.10 * 0.5 * 0.08% = $4.1067E-5 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -27.254124733039 + 4.1067E-5 = $-27.254083666039 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.31 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = $3.87 Mil.
Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 1.26 = $1.259 Mil.
Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 99.36 Mil.

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -27.254083666039 - 0.31)/ 9%+3.87-1.259 )/99.36
=-3.06

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.0557617185342-0.0368 )/-3.0557617185342
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Navidea Biopharmaceuticals  (OTCPK:NAVB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Navidea Biopharmaceuticals (Navidea Biopharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4995 Bradenton Avenue, Suite 240, Dublin, OH, USA, 43017-3552
Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Inc is a biotechnology company specializied in precision medicine. Its products, precision immunodiagnostic agents and immunotherapeutic products are designed to assist in the identification of undetected diseases and to improve targeted treatment. The company's platform, known as Manocept technology, aims to develop next-generation targeted diagnostics and therapies for cancer, autoimmune conditions, and other inflammatory diseases. One of the company's products is Lymphoseek, a radioactive diagnostic agent indicated to locate lymph nodes.
Executives
Craig Dais officer: Chief Financial Officer 4995 BRADENTON AVENUE, SUITE 240, DUBLILN OH 43017
Dana J Moss director 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Jill Stefanelli director 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Josh M Wilson director 4795 BRADENTON AVE, STE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Scott John K Jr. director, 10 percent owner 30 BLUE HERON DR., GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80121
Agnieszka Winkler director C/O INTER-TEL, INCORPORATED, 1615 SOUTH 52ND STREET, TEMPE AZ 85281
Thomas F Farb director C/O SUMMIT PARTNERS, 222 BERKELEY ST 18TH FL, BOSTON MA 02116
Michel Mikhail officer: Chief Regulatory Officer 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Malcolm G Witter director 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Alexander L Cappello director C/O THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC, 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301
Amit Bhalla director 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Joel H. Kaufman officer: Chief Business Officer 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Jed Latkin officer: Interim COO 152 W. 57TH STREET, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Sarah Kathryn Rouan director 4995 BRADENTON AVENUE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
Claudine Bruck director 4995 BRADENTON AVE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017-3552