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Ameriprise Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $300.04 (As of Jun21)
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As of Jun21, Ameriprise Financial's earnings power value is $300.04. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 0.68

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Ameriprise Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ameriprise Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ameriprise Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 164.80 176.76 196.60 233.76 298.69

Ameriprise Financial Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 287.76 299.27 298.69 282.85 300.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Ameriprise Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Ameriprise Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Ameriprise Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ameriprise Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Ameriprise Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Ameriprise Financial's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 12,583
DDA 213
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1,746
Tax Rate % 17.34
Maintenance Capex 145
Cash and Cash Equivalents 43,362
Short-Term Debt 200
Long-Term Debt 5,391
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 121

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1,746,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 12,583 * 0.00% +1,746 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 17.34%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 17.34% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 213 * 0.5 * 17.34% = $18.4297625 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 18.4297625 = $18.4297625 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Ameriprise Financial's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $145 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Ameriprise Financial's current cash and cash equivalent = $43,362 Mil.
Ameriprise Financial's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5,391 + 200 = $5591 Mil.
Ameriprise Financial's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 121 Mil.

Ameriprise Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 18.4297625 - 145)/ 9%+43,362-5591 )/121
=300.04

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 300.03848207737-298.00 )/300.03848207737
= 0.68%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Ameriprise Financial  (NYSE:AMP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Ameriprise Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Ameriprise Financial Business Description

Ameriprise Financial logo
Industry
Financial Services » Asset Management NAICS : 523930 SIC : 6282
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1099 Ameriprise Financial Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55474
Spun off from American Express in 2005, Ameriprise Financial has emerged as a major player in the U.S. market for asset and wealth management, with around $1.1 trillion in total assets under management and advisement at the end of 2020. Ameriprise has one of the largest branded advisor networks in the industry, and over 70% of the company's revenue comes from its asset and wealth management segments. Ameriprise has reduced its exposure to insurance with the sale of its auto and home insurance business in 2019 and discontinuing the sale of its proprietary fixed annuities in 2020. Around 90% of the company's pretax earnings are from the United States.
Executives
Smyth Gerard P. officer: EVP Technology and CIO 1099 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Woerner John Robert officer: Pres Ins & Chief Strat Officer AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 707 SECOND AVENUE SOUTH MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Williams Christopher J director 650 FIFTH AVE 10TH FL NEW YORK NY 10019
Truscott William F officer: CEO, Global Asset Management AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 50591 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Sweeney Joseph Edward officer: Pres-AWM Products & Services AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 707 SECOND AVENUE SOUTH MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Moore Colin officer: EVP & Global CIO C/O PUTNAM LLC ONE POST OFFICE SQ BOSTON MA 02109
Sharpe Robert Francis Jr director AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 50591 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Greenberg Lon R director 460 NORTH GULPH ROAD KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Noddle Jeffrey director 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Walter W Edward director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: WALTER W EDWARD a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Neal Blixt Dianne director 714 GREEN VALLEY ROAD GREENSBORO NC 27408
Digeso Amy director C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC. 767 FIFTH AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10153
Shea Brian T director ONE PERSHING PLAZA 95 CHRISTOPHER COLUMBUS DRIVE JERSEY CITY NJ 07399
Hutt John R. officer: Sr Vice Pres and Controller 1099 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Thissen Karen Wilson officer: Executive VP and GC 1098 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474

Ameriprise Financial Headlines

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