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Capri Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $50.36 (As of Sep21)
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As of Sep21, Capri Holdings's earnings power value is $50.36. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -22.12

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Capri Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Capri Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Capri Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.38 54.36 50.21 46.10 44.72

Capri Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.89 41.96 44.72 47.20 50.36

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Capri Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Capri Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Capri Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Capri Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Capri Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Capri Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 4,908
DDA 221
Operating Margin % 13.26
SGA * 25% 514
Tax Rate % 9.47
Maintenance Capex 105
Cash and Cash Equivalents 234
Short-Term Debt 478
Long-Term Debt 2,653
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 154

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 13.26%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = 13.26%, Average Adjusted SGA = 514,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 4,908 * 13.26% +514 = $1165.0193946 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 9.47%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1165.0193946 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1165.0193946 * ( 1 - 9.47% ) = $1054.6629324465 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 221 * 0.5 * 9.47% = $10.4784795 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1054.6629324465 + 10.4784795 = $1065.1414119465 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Capri Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $105 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Capri Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $234 Mil.
Capri Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2,653 + 478 = $3131 Mil.
Capri Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 154 Mil.

Capri Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1065.1414119465 - 105)/ 9%+234-3131 )/154
=50.36

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 50.359597711084-61.50 )/50.359597711084
= -22.12%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Capri Holdings  (NYSE:CPRI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Capri Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Capri Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Capri Holdings Business Description

Capri Holdings logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
33 Kingsway, London, GBR, WC2B 6UF
Michael Kors, Versace, and Jimmy Choo are the brands that comprise Capri Holdings. Capri markets, distributes, and retails upscale accessories and apparel. Michael Kors, Capri's largest and original brand, offers handbags, footwear, and apparel through more than 800 company-owned stores, third-party retailers, and e-commerce. Milan-based Versace (acquired in 2018) is known for its ready-to-wear luxury fashion. Jimmy Choo (acquired in 2017) is best known for women's luxury footwear. John Idol has served as CEO since he was part of a group that acquired Michael Kors in 2003.
Executives
Purefoy Daniel officer: SVP, Global Ops 33 KINGSWAY LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Korologos Ann Mclaughlin director PO BOX 3599 BATTLECREEK MI 49016-3599
Benedetto M William director 11 WEST 42ND STREET 21ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10036
Reitman Stephen F director 11 WEST 42ND STREET 21ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10036
Gibbons Judy director C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC. 11 WEST 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10036
Tomlin Jean director C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC. 11 WEST 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10036
Thompson Jane A. director C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC. 11 WEST 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10036
Freestone Robin Anthony David director 33 KINGSWAY LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Edwards Thomas Jr. officer: EVP, CFO & COO 6820 LBJ FREEWAY DALLAS TX 75240
Idol John D director, officer: Chairman & CEO 650 MADISON AVE NEW YORK NY 10022
Mcdonough Krista A officer: SVP, GC & Chf Sustain Off 33 KINGSWAY LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Robinson Cathy Marie officer: SVP, Chf Ops & Trans Off C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC. 11 WEST 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10036
Meyran Pascale officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 11 WEST 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10036
Kors Michael David director, officer: Hon Chair & Chief Creative Off C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC. 11 WEST 42ND STREET, ATTN. LEE SPORN NEW YORK NY 10036
Parsons Joseph B. officer: EVP, CFO, COO & Treasurer C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC. 11 WEST 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10036

Capri Holdings Headlines

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