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Edison International (Edison International) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-177.25 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, Edison International's earnings power value is $-177.25. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Edison International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Edison International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Edison International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -127.36 -136.38 -162.73 -182.17 -177.25

Edison International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -182.17 -187.59 -194.47 -195.41 -177.25

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Edison International's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Edison International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Edison International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Edison International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Edison International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Edison International's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 14,878
DDA 2,292
Operating Margin % 12.66
SGA * 25% 298
Tax Rate % -6.73
Maintenance Capex 5,246
Cash and Cash Equivalents 345
Short-Term Debt 3,894
Long-Term Debt 31,417
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 385

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.66%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $14,878 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.66%, Average Adjusted SGA = 298,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 14,878 * 12.66% +298 = $2181.356608 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -6.73%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $2181.356608 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 2181.356608 * ( 1 - -6.73% ) = $2328.0855602371 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2,292 * 0.5 * -6.73% = $-77.0924165 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 2328.0855602371 + -77.0924165 = $2250.9931437371 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Edison International's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $5,246 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Edison International's current cash and cash equivalent = $345 Mil.
Edison International's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 31,417 + 3,894 = $35311 Mil.
Edison International's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 385 Mil.

Edison International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 2250.9931437371 - 5,246)/ 9%+345-35311 )/385
=-177.25

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -177.25130898306-66.81 )/-177.25130898306
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Edison International  (NYSE:EIX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Edison International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Edison International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Edison International (Edison International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2244 Walnut Grove Avenue, P.O. Box 976, Rosemead, CA, USA, 91770
Edison International is the parent company of Southern California Edison, an electric utility that distributes electricity to 5 million customers in a 50,000-square-mile area of Southern California, excluding Los Angeles. Edison Energy owns interests in nonutility businesses that deal in energy-related products and services. In 2014, Edison International sold its wholesale power generation subsidiary Edison Mission Energy out of bankruptcy to NRG Energy.
Executives
Caroline Choi officer: Senior Vice President 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Kara Gostenhofer Ryan officer: VP, CAO and Controller 1111 LOUISIANA STREET, # 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
J Andrew Murphy officer: Senior Vice President 211 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Chang Vanessa C L director P O BOX 800, 2244 WALNUT GROVE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Kate Sturgess officer: Vice President and Controller 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Natalie K Schilling officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Marcy L. Reed director 84 SOUTH SHORE DR, STURBRIDGE MA 01566
Jill Charlotte Anderson officer: Executive Vice President, SCE 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Peter J. Taylor director 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Keith Trent director 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Carey A. Smith director 6210 ARDREY KELL ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Steven D Powell officer: Executive Vice President, SCE 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Jeanne Beliveau-dunn director C/O XYLEM INC., 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Ronald L Litzinger officer: Chairman, Pres. & CEO of EMG P.O. BOX 800, 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Timothy O'toole director 55 BROADWAY, LONDON X0 SW1H OBD

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