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LendingClub Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $1.62 (As of Sep21)
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As of Sep21, LendingClub's earnings power value is $1.62. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -2103.12

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


LendingClub Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for LendingClub's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LendingClub Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -37.04 -28.78 -19.67 -9.39

LendingClub Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -12.48 -9.39 -2.00 -2.55 1.62

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, LendingClub's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

LendingClub Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, LendingClub's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LendingClub's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



LendingClub Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

LendingClub's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 529.5
DDA 46.4
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 107.8
Tax Rate % 1.31
Maintenance Capex 38.1
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,137.1
Short-Term Debt 46.1
Long-Term Debt 498.9
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 106.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 107.8,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 529.5 * 0.00% +107.8 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1.31%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 1.31% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 46.4 * 0.5 * 1.31% = $0.304645309 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.304645309 = $0.304645309 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
LendingClub's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $38.1 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. LendingClub's current cash and cash equivalent = $1,137.1 Mil.
LendingClub's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 498.9 + 46.1 = $545.009 Mil.
LendingClub's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 106.1 Mil.

LendingClub's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.304645309 - 38.1)/ 9%+1,137.1-545.009 )/106.1
=1.62

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.6186107691148-35.66 )/1.6186107691148
= -2103.12%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


LendingClub  (NYSE:LC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


LendingClub Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LendingClub's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LendingClub Business Description

LendingClub logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 525990 SIC : 6153
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
595 Market Street, Suite 200, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94105
LendingClub Corp is a company engaged in operating an online lending marketplace platform that connects borrowers and investors for the provision of the loan facility. It offers investors access to an asset class that has generally been closed to many investors and only available on a limited basis to institutional investors. The company through the platform offer loan products such as personal, education and patient finance, small business and auto to interested investors. It generates a majority of the revenue from the transaction fees received from the platform's role in accepting and decisioning applications on behalf of the bank partners to enable loan originations.
Executives
Kay Valerie officer: Chief Capital Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST, SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Casey Thomas W officer: Chief Financial Officer 1201 THIRD AVE SEATTLE WA 98101
Koohestani Bahman officer: Chief Technology Officer 500 W. MADISON STREET #1000 CHICAGO IL 60661
Stack Fergal officer: SVP, Corporate Controller C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST., SUITE 300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Pace Brandon officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 595 MARKET ST, SUITE 200 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Sanborn Scott officer: CEO C/O REDENVELOPE, INC. 149 NEW MONTGOMERY STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Bogan Timothy officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST, SUITE 300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Armstrong Annie officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 595 MARKET ST. #200 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Momen Ronnie officer: Chief Lending Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Denman Kenneth D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: DENMAN KENNETH D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Zeisser Michael P director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ZEISSER MICHAEL P a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Williams Simon director C/O THE STUDENT LOAN CORPORATION 750 WASHINGTON BLVD., 9TH FLOOR STAMFORD CT 06901
Ciporin Daniel T director C/O VISTAPRINT USA, INC. 100 HAYDEN AVE LEXINGTON MA 02421
Mayopoulos Timothy J director C/O FANNIE MAE 1100 15TH STREET, NW WASHINGTON DC 20005
Morris John C. director C/O VISA INC. P.O. BOX 8999 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94128-8999

LendingClub Headlines

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