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Medtronic Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $44.68 (As of Jul22)
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As of Jul22, Medtronic's earnings power value is $44.68. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -80.72

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Medtronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Medtronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Medtronic Annual Data
Trend Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.34 32.62 45.19 43.39 45.47

Medtronic Quarterly Data
Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.80 43.27 44.69 45.47 44.68

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Medtronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Medtronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Medtronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Medtronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Medtronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Medtronic's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 30,241
DDA 2,681
Operating Margin % 18.56
SGA * 25% 2,560
Tax Rate % 6.02
Maintenance Capex 1,105
Cash and Cash Equivalents 8,873
Short-Term Debt 5,729
Long-Term Debt 17,481
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,335

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 18.56%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $30,241 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 18.56%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2,560,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 30,241 * 18.56% +2,560 = $8173.663496 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 6.02%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $8173.663496 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 8173.663496 * ( 1 - 6.02% ) = $7681.3228753184 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2,681 * 0.5 * 6.02% = $80.7570645 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 7681.3228753184 + 80.7570645 = $7762.0799398184 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Medtronic's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1,105 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Medtronic's current cash and cash equivalent = $8,873 Mil.
Medtronic's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 17,481 + 5,729 = $23210 Mil.
Medtronic's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,335 Mil.

Medtronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jul22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 7762.0799398184 - 1,105)/ 9%+8,873-23210 )/1,335
=44.68

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 44.681477372453-80.75 )/44.681477372453
= -80.72%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Medtronic  (NYSE:MDT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Medtronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Medtronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Medtronic Business Description

Medtronic logo
Address
Lower Hatch Street, 20 On Hatch, Dublin, IRL, 2
One of the largest medical device companies, Medtronic develops and manufactures therapeutic medical devices for chronic diseases. Its portfolio includes pacemakers, defibrillators, heart valves, stents, insulin pumps, spinal fixation devices, neurovascular products, advanced energy, and surgical tools. The company markets its products to healthcare institutions and physicians in the United States and overseas. Foreign sales account for almost 50% of the company's total sales.
Executives
Fong Ivan K officer: EVP GENERAL COUNSEL & SECR 3M CENTER ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Kirk Jennifer M officer: Chief Accounting Officer 5 GREENWAY PLAZA SUITE 110 HOUSTON TX 77046
Lofton Kevin E director GILEAD SCIENCES, INC. 333 LAKESIDE DRIVE FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Wall Brett A. officer: EVP & Group Pres Restora Thera 710 MEDTRONIC PARKWAY LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Salmon Sean officer: EVP & Group President Diabetes MEDTRONIC PLC, 710 MEDTRONIC PARKWAY LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Goldsmith Andrea Jo director 1220 AUGUSTA DRIVE SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77057
Liddicoat John R officer: EVP & President of Americas MEDTRONIC PLC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
White Robert John officer: EVP & President MITG MEDTRONIC PLC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MS LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Parkhill Karen L officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 1717 MAIN STREET, MC 6402 DALLAS TX 75201
Reddy Preetha director APOLLO HOSPITALS 21 GREAMS LN, OFF GREAMS RD CHENNAI K7 600006
Ellis Gary Lee officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer THE TORO COMPANY 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Hanson Bryan C officer: EVP AND PRESIDENT, COVIDIEN ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS 345 E. MAIN STREET WARSAW IN 46580
Hakami Hooman officer: EVP & Group President Diabetes 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MSLC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Oconnell Christopher J officer: See Remarks MEDTRONIC, INC. 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Lenehan James T director C/O MEDTRONIC INC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MS LC300 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432

Medtronic Headlines

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