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Myovant Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-18.17 (As of Mar22)
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As of Mar22, Myovant Sciences's earnings power value is $-18.17. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Myovant Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Myovant Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Myovant Sciences Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 0.99 -18.17

Myovant Sciences Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.99 -3.13 -8.17 -12.97 -18.17

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Myovant Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Myovant Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Myovant Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Myovant Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Myovant Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Myovant Sciences's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 58.1
DDA 1.6
Operating Margin % -322.81
SGA * 25% 29.5
Tax Rate % -0.72
Maintenance Capex 1.2
Cash and Cash Equivalents 434.2
Short-Term Debt 2.1
Long-Term Debt 365.7
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 94.4

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -322.81%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $ Mil, Average Operating Margin = -322.81%, Average Adjusted SGA = 29.5,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 58.1 * -322.81% +29.5 = $-157.936732735 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.72%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-157.936732735 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -157.936732735 * ( 1 - -0.72% ) = $-159.07782562901 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.6 * 0.5 * -0.72% = $-0.0057778325 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -159.07782562901 + -0.0057778325 = $-159.08360346151 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Myovant Sciences's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.2 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Myovant Sciences's current cash and cash equivalent = $434.2 Mil.
Myovant Sciences's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 365.7 + 2.1 = $367.889 Mil.
Myovant Sciences's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 94.4 Mil.

Myovant Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -159.08360346151 - 1.2)/ 9%+434.2-367.889 )/94.4
=-18.17

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -18.169342520938-9.79 )/-18.169342520938
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Myovant Sciences  (NYSE:MYOV) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Myovant Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Myovant Sciences Business Description

Myovant Sciences logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 541714 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11-12 St. James’s Square, Suite 1, 3rd Floor, London, GBR, SW1Y 4LB
Myovant Sciences Ltd is a healthcare company focused on redefining care for women and for men. The company's lead product candidate is relugolix, a once-daily, oral GnRH receptor antagonist. It has three late-stage clinical programs for relugolix in uterine fibroids, endometriosis, and prostate cancer. The company is also developing MVT-602, an oligopeptide kisspeptin-1 receptor agonist, that has completed a Phase 2a study for the treatment of female infertility as part of assisted reproduction.
Executives
Potter Myrtle S director 10 FINDERNE AVE BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Guinan Mark director C/O QUEST DIAGNOSTICS 500 PLAZA DRIVE SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Arjona Ferreira Juan Camilo officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC. 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY, 9TH FLOOR BRISBANE CA 94005
Curran Terrie director C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC. 320 WEST 37TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
Gulfo Adele M. director ONE NEENAH CENTER, 4TH FLOOR P.O. BOX 669 NEENAH WI 54957
Sebelius Kathleen director C/O DERMIRA, INC. 275 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, SUITE 150 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Lang Matthew officer: General Counsel & Corp. Secy. C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC. 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY, 9TH FLOOR BRISBANE CA 94005
Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. 10 percent owner 27-1, SHINKAWA 2-CHOME CHUO-KU TOKYO M0 104-8260
Sumitovant Biopharma Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O ROIVANT SCIENCES, INC. 320 WEST 37TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10018
Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma Co Ltd 10 percent owner 60 WALL STREET NEW YORK NY 10005
Seely Lynn director, officer: Principal Executive Officer 501 2ND STREET SUITE 211 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Sablich Kim officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC. 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY BRISBANE CA 94005
Nomura Hiroshi director C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC. 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY BRISBANE CA 94005
Roivant Sciences Ltd. 10 percent owner CLARENDON HOUSE 2 CHURCH STREET HAMILTON D0 HM11
Torti Frank director 2855 SAND HILL ROAD MENLO PARK CA 94025

Myovant Sciences Headlines

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