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Oak Valley Bancorp (Oak Valley Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $83.25 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, Oak Valley Bancorp's earnings power value is $83.25. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 71.94

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Oak Valley Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oak Valley Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oak Valley Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.34 48.90 120.33 113.47 83.25

Oak Valley Bancorp Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 113.47 107.15 93.85 86.46 83.25

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Oak Valley Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oak Valley Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Oak Valley Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oak Valley Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Oak Valley Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Oak Valley Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 59.64
DDA 1.14
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 5.24
Tax Rate % 23.78
Maintenance Capex 1.25
Cash and Cash Equivalents 698.15
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 8.24

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $59.64 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.24,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 59.64 * 0.00% +5.24 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.78%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 23.78% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.14 * 0.5 * 23.78% = $0.135105542 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.135105542 = $0.135105542 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Oak Valley Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.25 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Oak Valley Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $698.15 Mil.
Oak Valley Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
Oak Valley Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 8.24 Mil.

Oak Valley Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.135105542 - 1.25)/ 9%+698.15-0 )/8.24
=83.25

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 83.252459150446-23.36 )/83.252459150446
= 71.94%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Oak Valley Bancorp  (NAS:OVLY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Oak Valley Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Oak Valley Bancorp (Oak Valley Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
125 North Third Avenue, Oakdale, CA, USA, 95361
Oak Valley Bancorp is a bank holding company which operates through Oak Valley Community Bank (the Bank). The Bank offers a complement of business checking and savings accounts for its business customers. The Bank also offers commercial and real estate loans, as well as lines of credit. In addition, the bank provides other services for both individuals and businesses including online banking, remote deposit capture, mobile banking, merchant services, night depository, extended hours, wire transfer of funds, note collection, and automated teller machines in a national network. Its primary source of revenue is net interest income.
Executives
Gary Strong director 125 N THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Ronald C. Martin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 125 NORTH THIRD AVENUE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Daniel J Leonard director 125 NORTH THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Holder H Randolph Jr director 125 N THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Lynn Dickerson director 125 N 3RD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Allison Lafferty director 125 N THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
James L Gilbert director 125 NORTH THIRD AVENUE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Don Barton director 125 NORTH THIRD AVENUE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Janet S Pelton director 125 NORTH THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Christopher M. Courtney director, officer: President 125 NORTH THIRD AVENUE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Cathy Ghan officer: EVP Commercial Real Estate 125 N THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Terrance P Withrow director 125 NORTH THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Thomas A Haidlen director 125 NORTH THIRD AVENUE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Richard A. Mccarty officer: Chief Financial Officer 125 NORTH THIRD AVENUE, OAKDALE CA 95361
Gary Stephens officer: EVP Commercial Banking Group 125 N THIRD AVE, OAKDALE CA 95361

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