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Poage Bankshares (Poage Bankshares) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.95 (As of Sep18)


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What is Poage Bankshares Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep18, Poage Bankshares's earnings power value is $2.95. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Poage Bankshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Poage Bankshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Poage Bankshares Annual Data
Trend Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - -3.03 -0.11 1.73 1.57

Poage Bankshares Quarterly Data
Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.56 1.57 2.59 3.98 2.95

Competitive Comparison of Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Poage Bankshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Poage Bankshares's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 18.98
DDA 1.06
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 2.73
Tax Rate % 26.49
Maintenance Capex 0.81
Cash and Cash Equivalents 26.59
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 9.16
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 3.38

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $18.98 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2.73,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 18.98 * 0.00% +2.73 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.49%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 26.49% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.06 * 0.5 * 26.49% = $0.139936026 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.139936026 = $0.139936026 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Poage Bankshares's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.81 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Poage Bankshares's current cash and cash equivalent = $26.59 Mil.
Poage Bankshares's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 9.16 + 0.00 = $9.157 Mil.
Poage Bankshares's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 3.38 Mil.

Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.139936026 - 0.81)/ 9%+26.59-9.157 )/3.38
=2.95

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.9459773238603-25.31 )/2.9459773238603
= -759.14%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Poage Bankshares  (NAS:PBSK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Poage Bankshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Poage Bankshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Poage Bankshares (Poage Bankshares) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Poage Bankshares Inc is a holding company for Town square bank. The bank is involved in the business of accepting savings accounts, checking accounts and certificates of deposits from the general public and investing those deposits together with funds generated from operations and borrowings, in family mortgage loans, commercial and multi-family real estate loans, industrial loans, consumer loans and other types of loans. It also purchases investment securities issued by United States Government agencies and government-sponsored enterprises and also obligations of state and political subdivisions. The bank provides financial services to the clients located in and around Ashland, Nicholasville and Mt. Sterling, Kentucky.
Executives
Thomas Burnette director 1500 CARTER AVENUE, ASHLAND KY 41101
Coffman Ralph E Jr director, officer: President and CEO

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