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Phathom Pharmaceuticals (Phathom Pharmaceuticals) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $6.96 (As of Dec23)


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What is Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Phathom Pharmaceuticals's earnings power value is $6.96. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -28.23

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 6.96

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.53 2.91 1.81 6.96

Competitive Comparison of Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.14
DDA 0.41
Operating Margin % -512.28
SGA * 25% 15.81
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 1.01
Cash and Cash Equivalents 381.39
Short-Term Debt 0.73
Long-Term Debt 138.30
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 57.36

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -512.28%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.14 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -512.28%, Average Adjusted SGA = 15.81,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.14 * -512.28% +15.81 = $15.10775008 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $15.10775008 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 15.10775008 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $15.10775008 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.41 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 15.10775008 + 0 = $15.10775008 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.01 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Phathom Pharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = $381.39 Mil.
Phathom Pharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 138.30 + 0.73 = $139.03 Mil.
Phathom Pharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 57.36 Mil.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 15.10775008 - 1.01)/ 9%+381.39-139.03 )/57.36
=6.96

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 6.9559933519293-8.92 )/6.9559933519293
= -28.23%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Phathom Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:PHAT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Phathom Pharmaceuticals (Phathom Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Campus Drive, Suite 102, Florham Park, NJ, USA, 07932
Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The firm is focused on developing and commercializing novel treatments for gastrointestinal, or GI, diseases. Its product comprises vonoprazan, an oral small molecule potassium competitive acid blocker medicine that blocks acid secretion in the stomach. Vonoprazan shows rapid, potent, and durable anti-secretory effects and has demonstrated clinical benefits in the treatment of gastroesophageal reflux disease, and in combination with antibiotics for the treatment of Helicobacter pylori infection.
Executives
Molly Henderson officer: CFO and CBO 305 COLLEGE ROAD EAST, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Asit Parikh director C/O PHATHOM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 2150 E. LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 800, BUFFALO GROVE IL 60089
Azmi Nabulsi officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O PHATHOM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 2150 E. LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 800, BUFFALO GROVE IL 60089
Terrie Curran director C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC., 320 WEST 37TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Frank Karbe director C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC., 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY, 9TH FLOOR, BRISBANE CA 94005
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd 10 percent owner 1-1, NIHONBASHI-HONCHO 2-CHOME, CHUO-KU, TOKYO M0 103-8668
David A Socks director, officer: President, CEO, Treas. & Sec. C/O CADENCE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 12481 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Anthony J. Guzzo officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O US SHIPPING PARTNERS L.P., 399 THORNALL STREET, EDISON NJ 08837
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Todd P. Branning officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICLAS, INC., 400 CROSSING BOULEVARD, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Mark Stenhouse director 5505 ENDEAVOR LANE, MADISON WI 53719
Michael F Cola director 435 DEVON PARK BUILDING 800, WAYNE PA 19087-1945
Frazier Life Sciences Ix, L.p. 10 percent owner 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 3200, SEATTLE WA 98101
Jonathan S. Edwards director C/O PHATHOM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 2150 E. LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 800, BUFFALO GROVE IL 60089
Rajeev M. Shah 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116

Phathom Pharmaceuticals (Phathom Pharmaceuticals) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc CFO and CBO Molly Henderson Sells 2,110 Shares

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