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Anaplan (NYSE:PLAN) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-3.74 (As of Apr22)
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As of Apr22, Anaplan's earnings power value is $-3.74. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Anaplan Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Anaplan's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Anaplan Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -2.90

Anaplan Quarterly Data
Jan17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.90 -3.74

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Anaplan's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Anaplan Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Anaplan's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Anaplan's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Anaplan Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Anaplan's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 377.7
DDA 19.0
Operating Margin % -37.99
SGA * 25% 84.0
Tax Rate % -1.62
Maintenance Capex 13.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 304.0
Short-Term Debt 17.8
Long-Term Debt 23.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 149.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -37.99%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $377.7 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -37.99%, Average Adjusted SGA = 84.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 377.7 * -37.99% +84.0 = $-59.419313232 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -1.62%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-59.419313232 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -59.419313232 * ( 1 - -1.62% ) = $-60.38101481666 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 19.0 * 0.5 * -1.62% = $-0.1534354185 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -60.38101481666 + -0.1534354185 = $-60.53445023516 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Anaplan's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $13.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Anaplan's current cash and cash equivalent = $304.0 Mil.
Anaplan's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 23.6 + 17.8 = $41.436 Mil.
Anaplan's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 149.9 Mil.

Anaplan's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Apr22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -60.53445023516 - 13.5)/ 9%+304.0-41.436 )/149.9
=-3.74

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.7359449737792-63.73 )/-3.7359449737792
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Anaplan  (NYSE:PLAN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Anaplan Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Anaplan (NYSE:PLAN) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
50 Hawthorne Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94105
Anaplan Inc is a United states-based business performance management company. It offers cloud-based business planning and performance management platform based on a single hub where business users can create and use models. Anaplan provides solutions for finance, sales, supply chain, HR & workforce, and marketing. The company also provides professional services, including consulting, implementation, and training. Its geographical segments are the Americas; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and Asia-Pacific.
Executives
Brooke E. Major-reid director C/O ANAPLAN, INC. 50 HAWTHORNE STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Yvonne Wassenaar director C/O FORRESTER RESEARCH, INC., 60 ACORN PARK DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Allan Leinwand director C/O MARIN SOFTWARE INCORPORATED, 123 MISSION STREET, 25TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Vikas D Mehta officer: Chief Financial Officer 50 HAWTHORNE STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ana G. Pinczuk officer: Chief Development Officer 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
William Schuh officer: Chief Revenue Officer 50 HAWTHORNE STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Gagan Dhingra officer: See remarks 50 HAWTHORNE ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Shasta Ventures Ii Lp 10 percent owner c/o Shasta Ventures, 2440 Sand Hill Road, Suite 300, Menlo Park CA 94025
Suresh Vasudevan director C/O NIMBLE STORAGE, INC., 211 RIVER OAKS PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Gv Anaplan Spv, L.p. 10 percent owner 300 MONTGOMERY STREET SUITE 638 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Ravi Mohan director, 10 percent owner C/O SHASTA VENTURES 2440 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 300 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jacqueline Berterretche 10 percent owner 300 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 638, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Granite Management Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 300 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 638, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Christopher Mckay 10 percent owner 300 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 638, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Coatue Management Llc 10 percent owner 9 WEST 57TH STREET 25TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10019