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Remy Cointreau (Remy Cointreau) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $32.79 (As of Mar23)


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What is Remy Cointreau Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar23, Remy Cointreau's earnings power value is $32.79. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -204.69

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Remy Cointreau Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Remy Cointreau Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Remy Cointreau Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.81 30.13 38.20 31.21 29.86

Remy Cointreau Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 31.21 - 29.86 -

Competitive Comparison of Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Remy Cointreau Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Remy Cointreau's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 1,342
DDA 40
Operating Margin % 22.08
SGA * 25% 72
Tax Rate % 32.01
Maintenance Capex 55
Cash and Cash Equivalents 79
Short-Term Debt 306
Long-Term Debt 348
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 51

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 22.08%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,342 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 22.08%, Average Adjusted SGA = 72,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,342 * 22.08% +72 = $368.270047176 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 32.01%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $368.270047176 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 368.270047176 * ( 1 - 32.01% ) = $250.40153587685 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 40 * 0.5 * 32.01% = $6.387405414 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 250.40153587685 + 6.387405414 = $256.78894129085 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Remy Cointreau's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $55 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Remy Cointreau's current cash and cash equivalent = $79 Mil.
Remy Cointreau's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 348 + 306 = $653.426 Mil.
Remy Cointreau's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 51 Mil.

Remy Cointreau's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 256.78894129085 - 55)/ 9%+79-653.426 )/51
=32.79

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 32.790926500799-99.91 )/32.790926500799
= -204.69%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Remy Cointreau  (OTCPK:REMYF) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Remy Cointreau Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Remy Cointreau (Remy Cointreau) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Rue Joseph Pataa, Cognac, FRA, 16100
Remy Cointreau is the world's second-largest distiller of cognac by volume, with a 15.8% global volume share in 2022, according to Euromonitor. Cognac represented 72% of Remy's sales and 90% of EBIT in the same year. The remainder of Remy's portfolio is made up of much smaller group-owned brands, including Cointreau orange liqueur, Metaxa Greek spirit, Mount Gay rum, Bruichladdich single malt scotch, The Botanist gin, Hautes Glaces French whiskey, and Westland American whiskey. The company also distributes third-party brands and in 2023 entered the fragrance business. Remy is controlled by the Andromede family, which owns 41% equity interest and consolidates the business in the Andromede Group. The Cointreau family owns a further 27%, and 41% of the equity is free float.

Remy Cointreau (Remy Cointreau) Headlines

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