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A. Schulman (A. Schulman) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $33.53 (As of May18)


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What is A. Schulman Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of May18, A. Schulman's earnings power value is $33.53. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


A. Schulman Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

A. Schulman Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

A. Schulman Annual Data
Trend Aug08 Aug09 Aug10 Aug11 Aug12 Aug13 Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.74 26.45 -11.88 -6.90 -56.67

A. Schulman Quarterly Data
Aug13 Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15 May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16 May16 Aug16 Nov16 Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.38 -56.67 -55.93 31.10 33.53

Competitive Comparison of A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Chemicals subindustry, A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



A. Schulman Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

A. Schulman's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,476
DDA 69
Operating Margin % 3.77
SGA * 25% 69
Tax Rate % -29.70
Maintenance Capex 32
Cash and Cash Equivalents 52
Short-Term Debt 21
Long-Term Debt 897
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 30

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 3.77%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,476 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 3.77%, Average Adjusted SGA = 69,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,476 * 3.77% +69 = $161.965495747 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -29.70%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $161.965495747 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 161.965495747 * ( 1 - -29.70% ) = $210.06843815638 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 69 * 0.5 * -29.70% = $-10.1938484835 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 210.06843815638 + -10.1938484835 = $199.87458967288 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
A. Schulman's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $32 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. A. Schulman's current cash and cash equivalent = $52 Mil.
A. Schulman's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 897 + 21 = $918.448 Mil.
A. Schulman's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 30 Mil.

A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for May18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 199.87458967288 - 32)/ 9%+52-918.448 )/30
=33.53

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 33.526814832111-44.00 )/33.526814832111
= -31.24%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


A. Schulman  (NAS:SHLM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


A. Schulman Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of A. Schulman's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


A. Schulman (A. Schulman) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1221 McKinney Street, Suite 300, Houston, TX, USA, 77010
Lyondellbasell Advanced Polymers Inc manufactures and sells a variety of plastics and chemical-based products. The firm's product portfolio includes Engineered Thermoplastics, Masterbatch, Engineered Composites, Specialty Powders, and Distribution Services. The company organizes itself into four main segments by geography. Europe, Middle East, and Africa segment generate more revenue than any other segment. The other segments are the United States and Canada, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific.
Executives
Eugene Robert Allspach director 3550 WEST MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44333
Carol S Eicher director ROHM AND HAAS COMPANY, 100 INDEPENDENCE MALL WEST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Kristopher R Westbrooks officer: VP - Controller and CAO 3637 RIDGEWOOD ROAD, FAIRLAWN OH 44333
Rainer Schewe officer: EVP Global Supply Chain 3637 RIDGEWOOD RD, FAIRLAWN X1 44333
Andrean Horton officer: Senior Corp. Counsel 3637 RIDGEWOOD RD, FAIRLAWN X1 44333
John W Richardson officer: EVP - Chief Financial Officer THE GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY, 1144 EAST MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44316-0001
Allen A Spizzo director 1313 N MARKET ST, WILMINGTON DE 19894
Derek R Bristow officer: SVP & GM - APAC LOCALITA BREDA LIBERA, VIA IV NOVEMBRE 3, VEROLANUOVA L6 25028
David G Birney director 3550 W. MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44333
Timothy J Mcdannold officer: Treasurer - Dir.Risk Mngmnt. 5995 MAYFAIR ROAD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Lee D Meyer director 208 SHAWNA DRIVE, KEARNEY MO 64060
Joseph M Gingo director, officer: President & CEO 3550 WEST MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44333
Gary A Miller officer: VP, Chief Procurement Officer 3550 WEST MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44333
James A Mitarotonda director 888 SEVENTH AVENUE 17TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Gustavo S. Perez officer: SVP & GM LATAM 3550 WEST MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44333