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Tenet Healthcare (Tenet Healthcare) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $213.78 (As of Dec23)


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What is Tenet Healthcare Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Tenet Healthcare's earnings power value is $213.78. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 54.04

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Tenet Healthcare Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tenet Healthcare Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Tenet Healthcare Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 271.83 311.69 332.69 186.64 213.78

Tenet Healthcare Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 186.64 185.97 195.81 198.73 213.78

Competitive Comparison of Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Tenet Healthcare Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Tenet Healthcare's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 19,065
DDA 855
Operating Margin % 12.13
SGA * 25% 2,199
Tax Rate % 17.43
Maintenance Capex 557
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,228
Short-Term Debt 120
Long-Term Debt 14,882
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 104

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.13%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $19,065 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.13%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2,199,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 19,065 * 12.13% +2,199 = $4512.28539 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 17.43%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $4512.28539 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 4512.28539 * ( 1 - 17.43% ) = $3725.7263622422 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 855 * 0.5 * 17.43% = $74.4847995 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3725.7263622422 + 74.4847995 = $3800.2111617422 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Tenet Healthcare's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $557 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Tenet Healthcare's current cash and cash equivalent = $1,228 Mil.
Tenet Healthcare's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 14,882 + 120 = $15002 Mil.
Tenet Healthcare's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 104 Mil.

Tenet Healthcare's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3800.2111617422 - 557)/ 9%+1,228-15002 )/104
=213.78

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 213.7801124952-98.26 )/213.7801124952
= 54.04%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Tenet Healthcare  (NYSE:THC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Tenet Healthcare Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Tenet Healthcare (Tenet Healthcare) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14201 Dallas Parkway, Dallas, TX, USA, 75254
Tenet Healthcare is a Dallas-based healthcare services organization. It operates a collection of hospitals (about 60 as of June 2023) and over 550 ambulatory surgery centers and other outpatient facilities across the U.S., primarily in the South. Through its Conifer segment, Tenet also provides revenue cycle management solutions.
Executives
Richard W Fisher director
Roy Blunt director 2702 LOVE FIELD DRIVE, HDQ 4GC, DALLAS TX 75235
Paola M Arbour officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 14201 DALLAS PARKWAY, DALLAS TX 75254
Stephen H Rusckowski director C/O QUEST DIAGNOSTICS, 500 PLAZA DRIVE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Thomas W Arnst officer: EVP, Chief Admin. Officer & GC 14201 DALLAS PARKWAY, DALLAS TX 75254
Tammy Romo director C/O SOUTHWEST AIRINES CO., 2702 LOVE FIELD DR., DALLAS TX 75235
Daniel J Cancelmi officer: Principal Accounting Officer 13737 NOEL ROAD, SUITE 100, DALLAS TX 75240
J Robert Kerrey director NEW SCHOOL UNIVERSITY, 66 W. 12TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Richard J Mark director 1901 CHOUTEAU AVENUE MC-1310, ST. LOUIS MO 63103
Ronald A Rittenmeyer director 5400 LEGACY DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
Lisa Y Foo officer: EVP, Commercial Ops 14201 DALLAS PARKWAY, DALLAS TX 75254
Audrey T. Andrews officer: SVP and General Counsel 1445 ROSS AVENUE, SUITE 1400, DALLAS TX 75202
Meghan Fitzgerald director C/O VION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 4 SCIENCE PARK, NEW HAVEN CT 06511
Howard Hacker officer: EVP, Chief Compliance Officer 14201 DALLAS PARKWAY, DALLAS TX 75254
Marie Quintana officer: EVP, Marketing/Communications 14201 DALLAS PARKWAY, DALLAS TX 75254

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