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Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.47

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Seaboard  (AMEX:SEB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Seaboard Business Description

Seaboard logo
Industry
Industrials » Conglomerates NAICS : 551112 SIC : 6719
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9000 West 67th Street, Merriam, KS, USA, 66202
Seaboard Corp is a conglomerate of food production and transportation businesses. The group operates six business segments: pork, commodity trading and milling, marine, sugar and alcohol, power, and turkey. The group offers hog production and pork processing, biodiesel production, agriculture commodity trading, agriculture commodity processing and logistics, grain and feed milling, cargo shipping, sugarcane production, alcohol production, sugar refining, power production, turkey production and processing, and production of jalapeno peppers. The largest end markets by revenue are the Caribbean and Central and South America.
Executives
Bresky Jacob A. officer: Vice Pres-Business Development 9000 WEST 67TH STREET 3RD FLOOR SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Bresky Ellen S. director, 10 percent owner 9000 WEST 67TH STREET 3RD FLOOR SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Baena Douglas W director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BAENA DOUGLAS W a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Sand Darwin E officer: Pres. & CEO, Seaboard Foods 9000 WEST 67TH STREET SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Winfield Ivan J. Jr officer: VP-Information Technology 9000 WEST 67TH STREET SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Moss Ralph L officer: Senior Vice President 818 CONNECTICUT AVE NW STE 801 WASHINGTON DC 20006
Bresky Steven J director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO P.O. BOX 2972 SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66201
Squires Paul M. director SEABOARD FLOUR 1320 CENTRE STREET, SUITE 200 NEWTON CENTER MA 02459
Trollinger Michael D. officer: VP, Corporate Controller, CAO 9000 WEST 67TH STREET SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Holden Zachery J officer: Assistant Secretary 9000 WEST 67TH STREET MERRIAM KS 66202
Shifman Edward I. Jr. director 219 FULLER STREET WEST NEWTON MA 02465
Rodrigues J E director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: RODRIGUES J E a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Becker David M officer: Sr Vice President-Gen. Counsel PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BECKER DAVID M a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Tywater Ty A officer: Vice President 9000 WEST 67TH STREET MERRIAM KS 66202
Rankin David H. officer: Vice President 9000 WEST 67TH STREET SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
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