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iRobot (NAS:IRBT) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.12% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, iRobot's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, iRobot's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   
iRobot Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, iRobot's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where iRobot's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.


iRobot Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.72

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.12%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

iRobot  (NAS:IRBT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

iRobot Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of iRobot's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

iRobot (NAS:IRBT) Business Description

iRobot logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances » iRobot Corp (NAS:IRBT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
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Traded in Other Exchanges
I8R:Germany IRBT:Austria
Address
8 Crosby Drive, Bedford, MA, USA, 01730
Website
https://www.irobot.com
iRobot Corp is a united state based consumer robot company. It designs and builds robots that assist consumers with the solutions for the activities to be carried both inside and outside of the home. The company's consumer robot comprises a portfolio of solutions which includes cleaning, mapping and navigation, human-robot interaction, and physical solutions. The company operates in the business segment of Consumer robots. The consumer robot products are provided to the consumers by retail businesses and online store. The company derives its revenue from the product sales. It sells the products across the United States and around the world.
Executives
Karen Golz director ONE TECHNOLOGY WAY, NORWOOD MA 02062
Jean Jacques Blanc officer: Chief Commercial Officer IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Faris Habbaba officer: Chief R&D Officer IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Julie Zeiler officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Karian Wong officer: VP, Finance C/O IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Timothy Saeger officer: EVP Engineering C/O IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
David Keith Hartsfield officer: Chief Product Officer C/O IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Eva Manolis director C/O SHUTTERFLY, INC., 2800 BRIDGE PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Ruey Bin Kao director CHINA HOLDINGS ACQUISITION CORP., 33 RIVERSIDE AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, WESTPORT CT 06880
Elisha W Finney director C/O VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY M/S E-327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Andrew Miller director 111 MCINNIS PARKWAY, SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Michael Bell director C/O SILVER SPRING NETWORKS, INC., 555 BROADWAY STREET, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Mohamad Ali director 2 AVENUE DE LAFAYETTE, BOSTON MA 02111
Michelle Stacy director 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Christian Cerda officer: SVP & GM, Home Robots IROBOT CORPORATION, 8 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01930